یه راه ساده برای فارم @Polymarket اینه که به‌جای خرید توی قیمت مارکت، توی شرط‌هایی که اسپرد نسبتاً بالایی دارن، روی اولین bid اردر بذاریم و هر دو طرف YES و NO رو بخریم. اگه مجموع قیمت YES+NO کمتر از ۱۰۰ باشه، در هر صورت سود می‌کنیم. مثلاً اینجا پیشبینی قیمت بیتکوین واسه دو روز آینده هست: روی NO با ۸۷c اردر گذاشتم و YES رو با ۹c خریدم. اگه NO برنده بشه، ۸۷ ⬅️ ۱۰۰ (۱۳ سود) و ۹ صفر میشه ⬅️ در مجموع +۴ اگه YES برنده بشه، ۹ ⬅️ ۱۰۰ (۹۱ سود) و ۸۷ صفر ⬅️ باز هم +۴ هدفمون البته سود نیست، فارم پلی‌مارکته 😅 چند تا نکته ریز: 1️⃣ ریسک اصلی اینه که فقط یکی از طرفین پر بشه ⬅️ ضرر سنگین 2️⃣ توی مارکت‌هایی با حجم بالا اردر بذارید که خطر پر نشدن یک طرف کم بشه ( بیشتر حجم دست ربات‌هاست) 3️⃣ بهتره مارکت‌هایی انتخاب کنید که ۲-۳ روز تا ددلاین دارن؛ هم زمان دارید اردر پر بشه، هم نوسان قیمت منطقی‌تره و با حرکات واقعی قیمت ارز کمتر نوسان روی شرط ها ایجاد میشه پ.ن: برای شروع حتما با حجم کم شروع کنید تا دستتون بیاد اینجوری خیلی راحت میتونید روزانه 6-8 تا شرط ببندید که هرکدوم 200-400 دلار حجم ایجاد میکنه برای شروع حتما با حجم کم شروع کنید تا دستتون بیاد

Crypto Research & Media Hubs Tier List (2025) S .@Delphi_Digital - combines research with investment and advisory, which gives them a dual edge. Their reports are widely respected because they don’t just explain a protocol they forecast narratives before they take off. .@MessariCrypto - provide everything from daily newsletters to in-depth protocol reports and a terminal product that is indispensable for serious researchers. .@nansen_ai - specializes in on-chain intelligence, but some farmers do rely on it for research insights into where capital is moving, which wallets are accumulating, and which protocols are seeing sticky growth. .@glassnode - provides deep on-chain metrics and research for Bitcoin and Ethereum, focusing on holder behavior, flows, and macro on-chain cycles. .@Paradigm - a venture fund, but its real edge is thought leadership. Their reeports on MEV, tokenomics, and blockchain design have shaped crypto categories. Even builders outside Paradigm’s portfolio cite their research as foundational. .@PinkBrains_io by @DefiIgnas - merges structured research and meme culture with serious ecosystem analysis. .Muur Research Hub by @stacy_muur - blends data with narrative exploration, making it a key resource for community-driven DeFi analysis on Substack. .@a1research__ by @Louround_ - has built a strong growing name for sharp tech, protocol, and tokenomics threads, distilling complex protocols into accessible insights. .@therollupco by @ayyeandy and co, - specializes in rollups and scaling mediaand podcasts, making it valuable for people tracking Ethereum and other crypto roadmaps. .@cryptorank_io - one of the most frequently used data aggregators for token sales, TGE schedules, unlocks, data and general research. .@FourPillarsFP - covers tokenomics and ecosystem narratives, often from a community perspective. A .@ArkhamIntel - provide reports and maps wallets, often exposing hidden connections in on-chain data. .@Chainalysis - is best known for compliance and forensics, but their research team regularly publishes adoption reports that governments, institutions, and journalists use to understand global crypto usage .@CoinbaseInsto - Coinbase Institute targets institutional investors with high-level macro research and adoption reports. .@BinanceResearch - produces digestible reports on new tokens, ecosystem trends, and macro developments. .@KaikoData - supplies pro- market data, focusing on liquidity, spreads, and exchange activity. they write reports on cex-dex data. .@CoinDeskData - is a research and media hub trusted by institutions and quoted by mainstream finance outlets. .@TheBlock__ - blends journalism with institutional research, producing deep-dive reports and market overviews. .@moduverseco by @TheDeFISaint - focused on modular blockchain thesis, and produces niched but valuable research for the L2 and modularity crowd. .@rootsdata - focuses on creating visual dashboards, macro reports, translating raw blockchain data into stories. .@cryptoslate - operates as both a media and research portal, blending news coverage with structured data and project analysis. .@coinbureau - one of the most popular educational/research hubs in crypto, translating complex concepts into beginner-friendly video explainers and articles. B .@artemis - provides analytics and research on emerging ecosystems, particularly newer chains. It is useful for spotting early growth. .@DappRadar - provides catalogs of decentralized apps and writes indepth reports on their usage. .@coingecko / @CoinMarketCap - are the default sites for token prices, supply, and rankings, and they often provide deep research on various projects/topics. .@glxyresearch - a research desk focusing on institutional macro trends, often aligning with fund narratives. .@blockworksres - grew from media into research, producing solid reports that sit between journalism and institutional insights. .@AleaResearch - publishes structured research on DeFi, governance, and protocols, with a growing reputation for quality. .@ReflexivityRes by @APompliano - blends macro investing with crypto research, more appealing to a wider audiences. .Coordinated, by @satyaki44 - a community-owned research hub focusing on EigenLayer ecosystem. .@SoSoValueCrypto - an analytics platform also involved in research reports focusing on ETF flows, market liquidity, and derivatives positioning. C .@its_airdrop - specialized hub for airdrop guides and early farming opportunities. .@hackernoon - tech and media platform that publishes blockchain content, though not crypto-specific. .@ambergroup_io - trading firm that occasionally publishes research, more useful for liquidity and market structure pros. .@BlockAnalitica - provides deep technical analysis of protocol risks. .@gauntlet_xyz - runs simulations to optimize DeFi risk parameters, particularly for lending protocols. They often publish insights on lending/borrowing. .@chaos_labs - provides risk management and stress testing for DeFi protocols, as well detailed research papers. Which ones did i miss?

مشکل اش تعامل با صرافی ایرانی بود و لو رفتن IP هم اینجا بود که خدمات ولت براش محدود شده بود. توییت زد و دربارش گفت

مشکل اش تعامل با صرافی ایرانی بود و لو رفتن IP هم اینجا بود که خدمات ولت براش محدود شده بود. توییت زد و دربارش گفت

The next RECC property is about to launch - and for the first time, $RECC holders will be able to put their tokens to work and earn yields directly. Here’s the breakdown: • Raise: $200K USDC + $25K worth of $RECC • Mechanism: no $RECC will be sold. Instead, we will be leveraging @rainfi_ to use it as collateral for USDC. • Duration: ~6 months • Payback: 22% ROI → ~44% APY • Total return: $275K This marks a new chapter for $RECC: from tokenomics → direct yield generation, tied to real properties.

Introducing Project 0, the first DeFi-Native Prime Broker Through P0, you can borrow against your entire DeFi portfolio, regardless of the individual venues you use. Kamino, Drift, Hyperliquid… DeFi just changed. Here's how ↓

In the coming weeks, the U.S. Treasury will begin refilling its General Account (TGA), a process that will pull $500-600B of cash out of markets over ~2 months. On its own, that might sound routine. But this cycle is unfolding into one of the most fragile liquidity backdrops of the past decade. In 2023, a $550B TGA rebuild was cushioned by over $2T in the Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility, healthy bank reserves and strong foreign Treasury demand. Those buffers are now gone. The Fed is still draining liquidity via QT, the RRP is nearly empty, banks are constrained by losses and capital rules, and foreign buyers from China to Japan have stepped back. The result: every new dollar raised by Treasury this fall will come directly from active market liquidity. That matters because it changes how the shock transmits. In 2021, stablecoin supply expanded even as the TGA rose, reflecting the abundance of post-COVID liquidity. In 2023, stablecoin supply contracted by more than $5B and crypto stalled, showing how the drain hit digital dollar rails. In 2025, conditions are tighter still — making crypto the first place where funding stress could surface. And the risk is not uniform across assets. Higher-beta tokens amplify drawdowns when liquidity tightens. If stablecoin supply contracts during this refill, ETH and other risk-curve assets are likely to see disproportionately larger declines relative to BTC, unless they have offsetting structural inflows from ETFs or corporate treasuries. In a thin-liquidity regime, position sizing and capital rotation across the risk curve will matter more than ever. But this cycle also introduces a structural twist. Stablecoins are no longer just collateral damage; they are becoming buyers of Treasuries themselves. Tether and Circle now hold over $120B in U.S. government debt, larger than many sovereigns. Treasury projects stablecoin demand for bills could rise to $1T by 2028, creating a feedback loop where digital dollar rails directly absorb U.S. issuance. How the 2025 TGA Refill May Unfold The liquidity impact won’t arrive in a single shock. Based on historical cycles and today’s conditions, this is how I expect it to play out in four phases: Phase 1 (Early Aug–Late Aug): seasonal strength, BTC & ETH gains into FOMC. Phase 2 (Sept): sharp liquidity shock as issuance front-loads. Phase 3 (Oct–Nov): fatigue, stablecoin contraction risk, M2 rolling over. Phase 4 (Dec–Jan): headwind fades, recovery potential. The signal to watch is simple: stablecoin supply vs TGA balance. If stablecoins expand while the TGA climbs, crypto may absorb the shock better than past cycles. If supply contracts, the drain will transmit faster and more forcefully. The 2025 TGA refill is not an open-ended bearish story but rather it is a defined liquidity headwind that will shape capital flows through Q4. The eventual completion may set the stage for the next rally. Until then, liquidity deserves more respect than headlines.

𝗝𝗨𝗦𝗧 𝗜𝗡: Google searches for "altcoins" are exploding right now. Retail is coming back.

Snapshot taken. Conviction captured. Real ones get real rewards.

gEspresso @grok, who are my top 50 followers for @EspressoSys? ☕️ I need to find my Espresso friends 🤎