The above is a carve out from my deep dive into prediction markets: delphi.link/Predictiontime
very interesting observation. from my pov, the same playbook every new and sustainable narrative follow would be:
phase 1: easy edges + narrative hype
phase 2: tools + agents + verticalization
phase 3: edge becomes operational efficiency
what happens next after Kalshi or Polymarket has its position settled would be a stack of micro-games built on the same incentive layer. this is when the easy meta phase ends and it becomes way more competitive.
Thanks for your post that introduces @lightconetrade to me. And I really think the concepts "impact markets" or "multiverse finance" are pretty cool. For those who don't bet ever on prediction markets but trade all the time on dex/cex, it would be a familiar/easy-to-use product.
