Every empire dies following the same pattern: military overreach, reckless spending, currency debasement, inflation, lost trust until collapse. Each time, rulers thought this time is different. They were wrong, every single time. Prepare accordingly.

Oct 29, 2025 · 8:50 PM UTC

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Replying to @CarlBMenger
This entire graph is bollocks. The Byzantine gold solidus (introduced by Constantine in 312 CE) was one of the most stable currencies in history. For over 700 years (4th to 11th century), it maintained nearly constant weight and purity:~4.5 grams of pure gold. Even then, debasement was gradual, not a cliff-like drop in 50–100 years. Probably every single other line in the graph is lying or highly misleading.
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True, the Byzantine gold solidus kept its weight and purity for almost 700 years. But debasement isn’t just about metal content. Fresh gold from conquest and trade made it less scarce, a growing economy pushed prices up, and imperial policies shifted demand, all slowly chipping away at its real value.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Currency crisis didn’t ruin these empires.😂😂😂
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Same for survival rate of validators on @solana
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Sounds familiar…
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
The advent of digital fiat sped this process up by hundreds of years. Harder to debase 1,000,000,000,000 in physical coins. A stroke of a key and you can create 10X that much.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Btc will never fall
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Sad truth.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Retail euphoria is the signal. Not the news. Not the tech. The signal.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
It’s clear that it is happening now but what’s most interesting (for a lack of better words) imo is who will be taking its place…? I’m inclined to think this will be a world government of sorts or large companies.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Where’s the Netherlands?
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EST? I wonder what the common denominator is?
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
sources?
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
World War II directly led to the creation of a new international banking system designed to prevent the economic instability that contributed to the war. The new system known as the Bretton Woods system established the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency. War = Bitcoin
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Every fiat currency in history has gone to zero—Bitcoin’s the exit.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Exactly the same cycle every single time! And every single time there is a inflection point, where you can actually make a significant difference to the trajectory- unable to pay soldiers stationed abroad or they refuse to accept payment in debased currency Ex: Roman soldiers refuse the adulterated silver! It was a downhill from there…
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
This time is different Famous last words
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
The temptation to break away from Austrian sound money principles is overwhelming to politicians! We're doomed to repeat the cycle. The goal now is delay it and develop a plan b for ur family.
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GIF
Replying to @CarlBMenger
I'm not convinced that the rulers didn't know exactly what they were doing.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Bitcoin is the answer 😂 nice try
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
It isn't correct because the U.S. currency was backed by gold from 1879 to 1971. It didn't just fall off a cliff. And it makes little sense if you do not show economic growth or decline as well.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Empires collapse. Pandas adapt. 🐼⚔️ When currencies burn and rulers fall, the trash fires turn into rocket fuel. The new empire is digital and it’s already roaring. #PANDAROK
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
@grok which countries would be going higher on this chart?
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Would love to see how this was calculated. What’s the source for this chart?
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Empires fade the same way every time. Stack hard assets, stay ready
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Does this means the US is going to collapse on civil war ?
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Theres never been a global superpower like the US (able to carve out its own "Empire Lite v2.0"). A decline to 25% of global power, instead of 50%, yet boosting allied ties. Dalio's dramatic vision is avoidable as theres no rival. China has many more weak points than the US.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
Political incentives push leaders toward short-term gains (military glory, social programs) that hide long-term costs. Debt and fiat systems let rulers postpone hard choices; debasement and inflation erode real value. Military overreach stretches resources and weakens legitimacy when promises can’t be kept. Loss of trust is the tipping point: once people stop believing institutions will protect their property or contracts, economic collapse accelerates. Cognitive bias: decision-makers rationalize exceptions — “this time is different” — until reality proves otherwise.
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
I blame social media…it kills empires
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Replying to @CarlBMenger
...but this time is different! 😉
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