One result that was really consistent across states in exit polling, however, is that people are feeling the cost of living. Like it or not, inflation is growing faster than wages again. And yes, tariffs are playing a role, but not the only role. Republicans promised they’d lower grocery prices, and grocery prices are on the rise. It’s not a coincidence that coffee prices and banana prices are showing up repeatedly in stories about grocery prices going up. The President has placed a big tariff on the countries from which we get those things. Yes, Republicans, the economy still matters, and, contrary to the President, tariffs are hurting people. Also, I need to add that some Republicans will say candidates no longer matter because if Jason Miyares can lose, because it is now just “D” v “R,” we ought to go for broke. But actually, Mamdani could have lost to a better candidate than Cuomo. Miyares could have won with a better candidate than Sears at the top of the ticket. It is why, in a state like South Carolina, voters should commit Nancy Mace to a mental health facility instead of the party’s nomination for Governor next year, and GOP candidates across the country must be on their A game at all times. Certainly, the press and Democrats will read far more into last night’s results than is there, but Republicans must read into the results their party’s inability to turn out votes on just brand awareness or supporting Trump. And, frankly, in some states, identifying with Trump instead of building one’s own name and brand is not a winning strategy. ewerickson.substack.com/p/la…

Nov 5, 2025 · 1:52 PM UTC

Replying to @EWErickson
Also there is a built in structural advantage by the Dems
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Replying to @EWErickson
This is a great objective take, and I appreciate the honesty about what actually happened at the polls yesterday. I still maintain the party that finally tells its fringe factions "no" and caters to moderates will win landslide elections. But neither is willing to do that.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Trump is setting up his successor for failure, when all the Dem candidates have to do is pledge “I will lower prices by removing tariffs”. That’s it, that’s all they have to run on. Everyone can understand that’s a concrete, achievable thing.
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Replying to @EWErickson
All I know is I've seen grocery prices rise.. Home and auto insurance went up along with property taxes and health care. Housing and rental costs are insane. While Trump is busy admiring his new marble bathroom.
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Replying to @EWErickson
No if republicans would stop acting like democrats in Ga we might have won. You don’t let Georgia power raise rates during a recession. That ticks people off . Now as far as the rest of the country I have no idea.
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Replying to @EWErickson
As long as Trump can simply throw his weight behind the worst candidate for the primary just because they suck up to him, the GOP will continue to lose.
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Replying to @EWErickson
It’s the weakness of a party that has become a cult of personality. Without Trump to drive turnout, the GOP loses.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Candidates still matter. Brand is defining but not definitive. The issues are trending poorly for incumbents as they were in 2024. The simple truth is Americans are exhausted with drama and want to be able to afford to live.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Not only groceries, Trump promised to lower energy prices. However, with his unlimited support of Big tech and data centers, I don't see a glimmer of hope in the energy realm. I expect that energy will be the real "killer" of the American people.
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Replying to @EWErickson
We also are in a era where character and morals in leadership is a very low priority for the voters. It became obvious in the 2015 election cycle. It's just a race to the bottom. People vote their pocketbooks and that's it.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Trump approval among Virginia voters - 38% The problem is that your party is toxic. Trump made grandiose promises that allowed people to overlook his personal failings, and he is unable to deliver on any of them.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Trump will endorse Mace and it’s gonna be glorious watching her lose.
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Replying to @EWErickson
I tried to tell a young guy that prices will not go down (negative inflation hardly ever happens and is not good) but he thought that is what Trump promised. Trump should have been promising economic growth the entire time but decided to get in pissing matches. Oh well
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Replying to @EWErickson
Average Americans do not realize the damage done by printing 2 trillion dollars will do to an economy....
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Replying to @EWErickson
i will say, Sears acted very differently the last 6 months. I've voted for her every time she was on a ballot and it's obvious to me that the party was making her act differently then she normally does. She pretty much became MAGA which she wasn't in the past.
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Replying to @EWErickson
💯. People need to step out of their party yikes and remember unaffiliated voters exist for a reason (alienated by party politic nonesense), and yet they VOTE!
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Replying to @EWErickson
The middle class is getting ravaged. When people can’t feed their family, they throw the bums out. More than anything else, it got Trump elected in 2024. Same dynamic got Democrats elected last night. GOP really needs to embrace that.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Very clear headed analysis. Anybody who shops at supermarkets can see inflation is still a big issue. The braying jackasses in social media will ignore of course and beat their favorite whipping boys.
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Replying to @EWErickson
No credit at all for getting oil prices back to 2006 levels like inflation never happened at all huh?
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Replying to @EWErickson
Your free trade economic policy doesn't work and has impoverished wide swaths of America for 40+ years. We need to onshore as much as possible, raise the min wage and issue tariff rebates in a repeat of stimulus checks. Incomes must rise by any means necessary
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Replying to @EWErickson
> Mamdani could have lost to a better candidate than Cuomo. Miyares could have won with a better candidate than Sears at the top of the ticket. Likely true. Though not sure you and MAGA agree on the characteristics of a better candidate.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Virginia has one of the lowest rates of increase int the country. But as of July, yep everywhere is up.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Miyares needs to run next year for VA governor. Having Sears at the top of the ticket was clearly detrimental for his run as AG.
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Replying to @EWErickson
From this Independent’s perspective (and one who left the GOP in 2015 in disgust over the direction of the party) I believe that middle/moderate/bipartisan candidates from both parties will win. Solutions is what this country yearns for. We are tired of “performance politics”.
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Replying to @EWErickson
National R's could have learned from the previous GA Senate elections....could have, but largely did not.
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Uh bananas are still dirt cheap. A standard size bunch still costs about ~$1.50 or a little less, same as always.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Republicans didnt deliver the chsnge they promised and focused on foriegn conflicts after a few good months. Tariff rollout was confusing and dumb but the deals coming are decent. But people dont care.
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Replying to @EWErickson
Shorter version: MAGA is over.
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Replying to @EWErickson
The problem is that they are tone deaf and prefer to tell us things are better. Tell that yo b ordinary people who aren't living their illogical illusion. Democrats failed that with Biden, NYC believes their new mayor heard them even if they don't understand what they will get
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Replying to @EWErickson
Funny, how much are people paying at the pump?
Replying to @EWErickson
Ditto with the Senate primary in TX Ken Paxton is a disaster Wes Hunt is the way
Replying to @EWErickson
keep voting uniparty, folks. it will be different this time. promise!
Replying to @EWErickson
Great take.
Replying to @EWErickson
Grocery prices haven’t gone down in the last 50 years. Anybody that thought they would or ever will is just naive.
Replying to @EWErickson
You can always spot which fingers are jammed up the puppets rear end by which propaganda they push at opportune moments. Take jellybean jar head here, tariffs had nothing to do with the election the RINO consultants, Eric's friends told them to distance themselves from Trump. Big mistake, while Obama promoted his communists. They distance themselves from the mega movement notice they never asked Trump the campaign for them, which he gladly would've But even that is not the real reason and jellybean here knows it It's the ground game, it's ballot harvesting, ballot, chasing, and early voting, the main staple of the Democrats and the idiot Republicans still haven't caught up to the game they're still using muskets in a world filled with howitzers.
Replying to @EWErickson
In light of yesterday’s election, here’s my article several months ago stating that the cost of living is a crisis and it is what will determine whether MAGA retains Congress.