把之前写的关于经济方面的杂文分享下（二） 从文明的角度理解战争（2024年5月26日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 从经济的角度理解战争（2024年5月25日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 写在对台军演当下（2024年5月23日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 谈谈产能过剩这个话题（2024年5月23日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 再聊聊台湾（2014年5月21日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 老普和老习有多少真感情（2024年5月19日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 瞎掰普习会 （2024年5月16日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 谈谈不公平贸易（2024年5月14日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 谈谈美国对华新一轮关税（2024年5月14日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 目前货币体系的最大悖论（2024年5月8日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 世界进入不平静的5月（2024年5月1日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 日元的极速贬值会引发亚洲金融危机吗？（2024年4月27日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 布卿访华（2024年4月27日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 美国把中国的银行踢出SWIFT？（2024年4月25日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 写在拜习会之前 （2023年11月14日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 金砖国家会议闭幕，将如何撼动国际金融秩序？（2023年8月26日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 金砖国家会议即将召开，联合挑战美元霸权？（2023年8月26日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 中国是否存在制度性竞争优势（2023年8月29日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 对于未来货币的思考以及“货币虫洞理论”（2023年7月29日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 人民币，美元双系统风险及解决的可能（2023年5月11日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 金融市场是否存在必赢的策略？（2023年5月12日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 数字资产，数字货币，过去以及未来（2023年5月11日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 人民币，美元，以及国际储备货币的未来（2023年5月11日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 台海，将把世界引向何方？（2023年3月5日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 中美矛盾还有调和空间吗？（2023年3月2日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… （续）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… ChatGpt，人工智能，智本主义社会（2023年2月22日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 2023,全球经济负利润之年？（2023年1月11日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 这次，会是中国引爆全球金融危机吗？（2022年11月3日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 中国经济大幅左转凛冬将至？（2022年10月22日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 崩塌的英镑与帝国的黄昏（2022年9月29日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 人民币即将崩溃？ （2022年9月28日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 中国经济下一步破局之道之猜测 （2022年9月22日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1… 对于一个国家，什么是真正的财富？（2022年9月13日）x.com/logs_importer/status/1…

🇨🇳中国松了索——足以提醒美国，谁说的算。 北京刚刚暂停了金属挤压，解除了对镓、锗和锗的出口禁令——这些是芯片、太阳能电池和军用装备的骨干元素。 根据中国商务部的说，停战将持续到2026年11月。 不要称它为慷慨。称之为地缘政治棋。 中国控制着全球94%的镓和83%的锗，就像欧佩克曾经拥有石油一样——而且它知道这一点。 这些不是商品；它们是瓶颈。 �鄴？那是为弹药、装甲和下一代电池提供动力的安静。 此前，在首尔举行的Xi-Trump峰会之后，两位领导人都决定在冬季到来供应链之前冷却贸易战。 目前，美国芯片制造商和国防承包商可以稍微呼气。 但别搞错了：这不是缓和，而是诊断。 北京正在测试这个系统——看看西方如何以多快的速度重建依赖性，市场如何反应，华盛顿如何在沉迷于中国矿产的同时旋转“稳定性”。 接下来：“关键矿产多样化”头条新闻的繁荣和五角大楼的安静恐慌。 金属可能会再次流动，但信息非常明确——中国仍然拥有水龙头。 来源：《经济时报》

Mexican ribeye~~very flavorful, good price 👍

Elizabeth made it…🤣

The European Union and China have successively confirmed that China has resumed exporting #Anshi semiconductor chips for civilian use, which will help alleviate the supply shortage faced by automobile manufacturers and parts suppliers. Grok explains ‘For civilian use’: Grok: Background: The China-Netherlands Chip Export Dispute Starting in 2023, the Dutch government (home to ASML) implemented export controls on advanced semiconductor equipment (such as EUV lithography machines) and certain semiconductor materials/technologies, targeting Chinese companies, under pressure from the United States. At the same time, as a countermeasure, the Chinese government introduced an export licensing system for two key semiconductor raw materials—gallium (Ga) and germanium (Ge)—effective from August 1, 2023. These two materials are widely used in compound semiconductors (such as GaN and GaAs), and while **Nexperia** primarily focuses on silicon-based power chips, some of its products (such as high-performance MOSFETs and GaN power devices) involve these materials or related supply chains. China's exports for "military end-use" are never approved for licensing in the first place → so there's no such thing as "restoring" or "restricting" them. In other words: • Civilian chips: Exports were previously suspended due to the gallium/germanium controls → now restored (requires applying for a license, which, once approved, allows export). • Military chips: China never approves exports → not within the scope of discussions on "restoring exports." 1. China's Export Control Law explicitly stipulates: • Exports involving "dual-use items" (civilian items that can be converted to military use) require declarations of the end-user and end-use. • If declared for military use, China's Ministry of Commerce directly rejects it and does not issue a license. 2. Nexperia case: • Its products (such as automotive-grade MOSFETs) qualify as dual-use items. • Batches approved for restored exports must include proof of civilian end-use (e.g., supply to automakers like Volkswagen or Bosch). • If found to flow into military use, China will hold them accountable and permanently ban the relevant companies from exporting. 3. Dutch/EU stance: • The Netherlands also conducts export compliance reviews on Nexperia (due to its parent company being China's Wingtech Technology). • EU statements emphasize: Chips for restored exports are limited to civilian supply chains and must not be used for military purposes.

日本在金融上总是领先一步——有时有点太直截了。 在日本，他们推出了“代际抵押贷款”的辉煌概念，最著名的是“100年抵押贷款”。 天才？ 你可能一辈子都还不完，所以别担心——你的孩子会从你离开的地方接手。因为为什么不奴役多代人来给你一个屋顶呢？ 当然，所有这些都完美地反映了日本迷人的小怪癖：人口老龄化和天价的住房成本。 美国金融实验室正在做真正出色的工作。 我的回复： 几千年来，日本深受中华文明的影响，后来向现代西方学习，与中国开战，被美国核弹，发展经济，被金融陷阱搞砸，将出生率降至极端水平，高债务社会，普通人甚至关心大米的价格。日本人是聪明人，回顾一下你几千年的历史，再想想。 #Mortgage #finance #vasal

• Risk: This may encourage China to "retal for a tooth" (such as the escalation of the ban on rare earths). The European Union is pushing for the "Chip Act 2.0" (investing 50 billion euros in local production capacity), but relying on Sino- Dutch cooperation in the short term. • Global perspective: In the wave of Trump's "science and technology decoupling", this move is the "middle line" of the European Union - a delaying plan. In the long run, semiconductor "Moments" reshaping: America, Holland, Europe vs. Sino-Russian chain. The incident is still evolving - Nexperia and the Dutch Ministry of Economy have temporarily refused to comment on Bloomberg's report, but Minister Karremans expects a new statement in the parliamentary response this Wednesday (November 9). If China exempts exports, it will be the "turning point" of chip friction in 2025.

The Netherlands will return the control of Nexperia Semiconductor. The Dutch government is expected to suspend the control order on Anshi Semiconductor as early as next week and restore control over its Chinese shareholders. This initiative aims to ease disputes with China and maintain the stability of the global semiconductor supply chain. Grok fact check: The Netherlands returns control of Ans Semiconductor: the latest progress and the impact of the global chip chain (November 7, 2025) Yes, the news you mentioned is accurate! The Dutch government does plan to suspend the control order on Nexperia as early as next week (expected November 10-14), so as to restore the management of its Chinese shareholders (Wingtech Technology). This decision stems from the signal of easing the chip trade friction between China, the United States and Europe, aiming to repair the risk of rupture in the global semiconductor supply chain. The following is based on the real-time reports of Bloomberg, Reuters, etc. to disassemble the background, causes and potential impacts of the incident. This is not a simple "concession", but a pragmatic trade-off under the impact of the European Union in the United States and China - the shortage of chips has spread to automobiles, consumer electronics and other industries. 2. Why "return control" now? The geographical considerations behind it • Ease the Sino-Dutch dispute: China's ban in October directly responded to the Dutch takeover, and the Netherlands did not want to "add fuel to the fire". Minister of Economy Karremans said on Thursday: "We are working with Chinese and international partners to find a balanced solution." This reflects the EU's "dual-track strategy": tough on China (export control), but not at the expense of local industries. • Maintaining the global supply chain: chip shortage has become a "time bomb" - European automobile production fell by 8% in Q3 2025, and consumer electronics was delayed. The Netherlands accounts for 30% of global semiconductor equipment exports (ASML monopoly) and is unwilling to trigger a chain reaction from the Nexperia incident. • U.S.-China pinch pressure: The Trump administration threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese exports last week and urged the Netherlands to "clear Chinese CEOs" (reported by Bloomberg on October 14). However, the European Union does not want to completely turn to the United States, which is regarded as a "transaction chip" - to resume supply in exchange for Wingtech's promise of "technology to stay in Europe". • Nexperia's position: The company declares to "comply with all regulations", and Wingtech calls it "transparent operation" and is seeking exemption. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China: Welcome "pragmatic cooperation". 3. Reactions from all parties: from condemnation to optimism • China: Wingtech filed a "welcome to unfreeze" on the Shanghai Exchange on Monday, but warned of "legal relief" if delayed. Beijing regards this as "Western bullying concession". • European Union/Netherlands: The Ministry of Economy emphasizes "temporary measures" and non-permanent nationalization. German Automobile Association VDA: "The recovery of the supply chain will be urgent." • United States: Trump's team was silent, but the Department of Commerce hinted at "monitoring Wingtech". Silicon Valley is worried that if China and the Netherlands reconcile, the European market share of U.S. companies (such as Intel) may shrink. • Market real-time: Wingtech (600745. SS) rose 2.8% today; ASML's stock price is stable, and analysts predict that "short-term good, long-term risks still exist" (Reuters). 4. Wider impact: the "truce" signal of the chip war? • Positive side: If it takes effect next week, the supply of chips in Europe can recover by more than 80%, and the output of the automobile industry in Q4 will rebound. Highlight the "globalization is irreversible" - Nexperia's European factory will retain key technologies.

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Breaking news: Turkey has issued an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu and 36 Israeli officials, accusing them of committing genocide and crimes against humanity in Gaza. The Office of the Chief Prosecutor of Istanbul, Turkey, issued a court document on November 7, 2025, confirming that Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu, including the Minister of Defense Israel Katz and the commander-in-chief of the Israel Defense Forces, Eyal Zamir 36 officials, including Zamir, issued arrest warrants, accusing them of committing genocide and crimes against humanity in Gaza, and filed a lawsuit under the principle of universal jurisdiction. Grok fact check: (Translated by Google, Grok refused to translate, see picture) 💥Turkey Issues Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Israeli Officials: Latest Developments and Analysis (November 7, 2025) Yes, this news is indeed breaking! According to court documents released today (November 7, 2025) by the Istanbul Chief Prosecutor's Office, Turkish courts have formally issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and 36 Israeli officials, accusing them of "genocide" and "crimes against humanity" in the Gaza conflict. This is not a diplomatic statement, but a formal arrest warrant based on Articles 76 and 77 of the Turkish Criminal Code, invoking the principle of "universal jurisdiction"—meaning any country can prosecute. 1. Core of the Event: Who is accused? What are the accusations? • List of Targets: Arrest warrants cover 37 people (Netanyahu + 36 officials), including: • Defense Minister Israel Katz: Accused of leading “systemic violence” against civilians. • Israel Defense Forces (IDF) Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir: Suspected of directing bombings of medical facilities and obstructing humanitarian aid. • Others: High-ranking officials such as National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and Navy Commander David Saar Salama. • Details of the Indictments: Prosecutors allege that Israel’s actions in Gaza constitute “systemic” crimes, including: • Bombings targeting civilians and infrastructure (such as the October 17, 2023 attack on the al-Ahli Baptist Hospital, which killed 500 people). • Obstructing humanitarian aid and sabotaging medical facilities (such as the February 29, 2024 incident). • Bombing of the Turkish-aided "Turkey-Palestine Friendship Hospital" (bombed in March 2025). • The investigation stemmed from multiple complaints received by the Istanbul courts between October 4-10, 2025, and involved coordination between the Turkish Ministry of Justice and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. • Legal basis: The Turkish court stated that it could not immediately arrest the suspects as they were not in Turkey, but had issued a "red notice" requesting Interpol's assistance. If Netanyahu and others enter Turkey or other countries recognizing universal jurisdiction, they will face the risk of arrest. • Israel: Strong backlash. Foreign Minister Gideon Saar called it a "despicable public relations stunt orchestrated by the tyrant Erdogan." Former Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman stated on X: "This proves that Turkey should not be involved in Gaza affairs." Israel called the accusations "politically motivated and without legal basis." Former IDF Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi apologized for similar incidents (such as the death of a World Central Kitchen aid worker in April 2024), calling it a "misidentification." • US: No formal response yet, but Vice President JD Vance previously stated that Israel must agree to any foreign troops entering Gaza. This move could impact Trump's "regional peace plan," and there are calls on X for sanctions against Turkey ("teaching Erdogan a lesson"). • International Community: • UN: The committee previously stated that Israel's actions "constitute genocide." • EU/Western: Many reports view it as "symbolic," but there are concerns about the "populist" actions of NATO ally Turkey.

美国印太司令部 我们知道导弹发射，并正在与我们的盟友和合作伙伴密切协商。虽然我们已经评估过，这一事件不会对美国人员或领土或我们的盟友构成直接威胁，但导弹发射凸显了朝鲜行动的破坏稳定的影响。美国仍然准备保卫美国的祖国和我们在该地区的盟友。 Grok核查： 朝鲜的导弹发射：最新发展和背景（2025年11月7日） 感谢您分享此声明——这是来自美国的官方回应。 印度洋-太平洋司令部（INDOPACOM）今天早些时候发布，以回应朝鲜（DPRK）最新的弹道导弹试验。 这一事件凸显了该地区持续的紧张局势，但正如声明所指出的，这并不代表直接威胁。 下面，我将根据实时报告分解关键事实、区域反应和更广泛的影响。 发布的关键细节 •发生了什么：2025年11月7日，当地时间中午（韩国标准时间）左右，朝鲜从中国边境附近的西北部（特别是大关县）的内陆地区发射了一枚短程弹道导弹（SRBM）。 导弹向东飞行了约700公里（435英里），然后降落在日本专属经济区（EEZ）外的东海（日本海）。 没有损坏或受伤的报告。 •技术说明：韩国参谋长联席会议（JCS）通过监视检测到准备工作，并实时跟踪飞行，与盟友共享数据。 日本证实了发射，将其描述为可能是弹道导弹。 朝鲜尚未通过国家媒体（KCNA）正式发表评论，这很不寻常，因为他们经常迅速吹捧成功——这可能表明常规测试，而不是重大披露。 •时间表背景：这是朝鲜在10月份的一系列发射（包括高超音速导弹和巡航导弹）之后，在不到三周的时间里进行第二次导弹试验。 这是在活动加剧的情况下发生的：上周向缓冲区开火炮，以及最近的美韩军事演习。 美国和盟国的回应 •美国：根据您引用的INDOPACOM声明，美国正在与合作伙伴（例如韩国、日本）协调，但强调没有直接风险。 重点是朝鲜的“不稳定”模式，准备保卫祖国和盟友。 这与美国最近的行动一致，例如授权韩国的核潜艇计划，以及对朝鲜银行家实施核洗钱的制裁——这些举措可能促使了这次试验。 •韩国：JCS谴责这次发射是“挑衅”，并正在分析轨迹数据。 在乌龙岛短暂地激活了紧急警报器，韩国军队在训练中以导弹拦截作为回应。 李在明总统的政府将此视为他监督下的第二次考验，这加剧了对加强威慑的呼吁。 •日本：首相高一沙上通过外交渠道提出了“强烈抗议”，确认日本领土没有受到威胁。 沿海地区发布了空袭警报，但导弹未達到专属经济区。 •其他盟友和合作伙伴： •欧盟：发言人阿尼塔·希珀谴责这次发射违反了联合国安全理事会的决议，敦促朝鲜追求“外交而不是升级”。 •英国（FCDO）：发表声明称其为“莽”，并重申对区域稳定的承诺。 •德国：外交部强烈谴责它，要求停止非法导弹开发和转让。 更广泛的影响 •为什么是现在？：分析师认为这是美国政策转变中的信号——特朗普总统最近对首尔的访问（并暗示重启金正恩会谈）可能是试水。 朝鲜的模式加剧了压力，特别是随着俄罗斯关系的加强（例如，最近在平壤举行的军事会议）和金正日最近揭幕，如华松-20洲际弹道导弹。 根据专家的说明，这不是“孤立的戏剧性”，而是“讨价还价重置”的一部分。 •区域稳定：冲突没有升级，但它削弱了对2018年《平壤宣言》缓冲区的信任。 韩国推动从美国获得浓缩铀作为潜艇，这预示着军备竞赛的动态。 •全球观点：这符合朝鲜2025年的激增——根据维基百科跟踪，今年迄今为止有超过20次测试。 联合国安理会的决议（例如，禁止弹道技术）经常被忽视，这促使人们呼吁重新进行外交。 局势仍然不稳定；我将监测朝鲜的官方宣读或进一步的盟军行动。 如果您想分析具体方面（例如，导弹类型、特朗普-金正日前景或历史模式），或者如果这与更大的讨论有关，请告诉我！

演艺生涯 一流演员去华府 二流扎进好莱坞 三流贩售成功学 末流直播卖红薯

唐纳德·J总统特朗普在白宫与C5中亚国家的领导人共进晚餐。🇺🇸

I posted this exactly 2 years ago, 11/06/2023 Given the current situation, I think it might accelerate the process of de-dollarization. Many countries may have already realized that the dollar is the baton that mobilizes resources worldwide—in a state of war without de-dollarization, fighting war with would be like beating yourself up, or pulling yourself up by pulling your own hair. As a foreigner, I generally don't make too many negative comments about the politics of the country I am currently living in, but I'll sincerely offer this advice: prepare a Plan B, and don't wait until that day comes and find yourself with no solution, because after all, those numerous overseas bases and stationed troops require massive expenses—once the host country refuses to accept dollars, even just the daily necessities of food, drink, and bodily functions will become major problems. I've mentioned before that the United States should consider moderate strategic contraction; even from America's standpoint, even if it treats China as a competitor, even if its goal is to bring China down, it still needs strategic contraction, and it still needs to let China expand—the bigger it expands, the more vulnerabilities there will be, and the easier it will be to find weaknesses. That Chinese saying goes: You see him build a towering building, you see him host banquets for guests, you see his building collapse—giving others opportunities is giving yourself opportunities, and blocking others' paths is blocking your own. That's all for now.

（谷歌翻译） 抖音消息： 美国军队告诉他们在德国的士兵去食物银行，你能核实一下吗？ 格罗克： 是的，这一说法是可核实的，并且基于正在进行的美国政府停摆（截至2025年11月6日的第37天）的真实事件。 以下是所发生的事情的明确细目，并有多个可信的报告支持： 发生了什么 •发布指南：2025年11月5日，美国 巴伐利亚陆军驻军（监督德国格拉芬沃尔、霍恩费尔斯等主要基地）发布了一个“停工指南”网页。 这列出了受停工影响的资源，包括德国当地食品银行（例如，通过协调970多家食品银行的Tafel Deutschland）、紧急社会福利、低息贷款和Too Good To Go等食物共享应用程序。该页面旨在支持面临潜在工资延迟或服务中断的士兵、家庭和基地员工。 •停工的背景：僵局源于关于预算拨款的党派纠纷，财政部长Scott Bessent在哥伦比亚广播公司新闻上警告说，如果不解决，现役工资可能会在11月15日之前停止。 10月份，约37,000名驻德国美军的工资通过紧急重新分配（减税25亿美元，采购14亿美元，研发14亿美元），外加1.3亿美元的匿名捐款。 然而，11月仍然不確定，使生活在薪水到薪水的海外人員壓力很大。 •公众的反响和删除：食物银行的引用在社交媒体上引发了愤怒（例如，Reddit的r/army subreddit称其为“尴尬”和“可悲”，用户指出，士兵可能会被拒之门外，因为他们没有资格获得德国援助）。 在几个小时内，陆军从巴伐利亚网站上删除了这些列表，称其为“错误”。 一个美国 欧洲和非洲陆军声明澄清说，它仅针对美国基地的约11,000名德国文职雇员（德国政府在10月份支付了他们的工资，希望得到美国的补偿）。 一些类似的资源在威斯巴登驻军的页面上挥之不去，但与关闭援助没有明确联系。 关键证据和来源 •媒体报道：欧洲新闻于11月5日报道了这个故事，并指出该指南将士兵引导到“食物银行和食物共享组织，志愿者通过公共冰箱提供剩余的食物”。 来自天空新闻、DW（Deutsche Welle）、The Mirror US和Task & Purpose的类似报道证实了细节和快速删除。 •社交媒体嗡嗡声：在X（前身为推特）上，11月5日至6日的帖子放大了欧洲新闻的文章，@HeyMaiLady和@Volusianicus等用户分享了链接，并批评这种情况是“国家尴尬”。 德国用户表示沮丧，指出当地食物银行已经不堪重负，等待名单长达数月。 •没有广泛使用的证据：目前还不清楚是否有任何美国士兵真正向这些银行寻求或接受援助——官员表示，这种指导对军队是错误的，德国服务部门优先考虑居民。 陆军强调基本的“生命、健康和安全”服务不间断地继续进行。 更广泛的影响 这一事件凸显了停工对驻外美军的涟漪效应，削弱了北约主要枢纽的士气和准备状态。 批评者（包括X的副总统JD Vance）指责民主党人陷入僵局，而其他人则指出共和党的要求。 截至目前，还看不到任何解决方案，五角大楼正在探索更多的应急资金。 如果您是受影响的军人或家人，请查看官方频道，如陆军的My Army Post应用程序以获取更新。 这不是孤立的——过去的停工（例如，2018-2019年）延迟了80多万联邦工人的工资，包括军事支援人员。 如果您想要更多详细信息或存档网页的链接，请告诉我。 参考我之前预判： x.com/logs_importer/status/1…

Heard from TikTok: US army told their soldiers in Germany to go to food bank, can you verify it please. Grok: Yes, this claim is verifiable and based on real events from the ongoing U.S. government shutdown (now in its 37th day as of November 6, 2025). Here’s a clear breakdown of what happened, backed by multiple credible reports: What Occurred • The Guidance Posted: On November 5, 2025, the U.S. Army Garrison Bavaria (overseeing major bases like Grafenwöhr, Hohenfels, and others in Germany) published a “Shutdown Guidance” webpage. This listed resources for those affected by the shutdown, including local German food banks (e.g., via Tafel Deutschland, which coordinates over 970 food banks), emergency social benefits, low-interest loans, and food-sharing apps like Too Good To Go. The page was framed as support for soldiers, families, and base employees facing potential pay delays or service disruptions. • Context of the Shutdown: The impasse stems from partisan disputes over budget appropriations, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warning on CBS News that active-duty pay could halt by November 15 if unresolved. October pay for ~37,000 U.S. troops in Germany was covered via emergency reallocations ($2.5B from tax cuts, $1.4B from procurement, $1.4B from R&D), plus a $130M anonymous donation funneled through the Pentagon. However, November remains uncertain, straining overseas personnel who live paycheck-to-paycheck. • Public Backlash and Removal: The food bank references sparked outrage on social media (e.g., Reddit’s r/army subreddit called it “embarrassing” and “pathetic,” with users noting soldiers might be turned away as they’re ineligible for German aid). Within hours, the Army removed the listings from the Bavaria site, calling it a “mistake.” A U.S. Army Europe and Africa statement clarified it was intended solely for ~11,000 German civilian employees at U.S. bases (whose pay the German government covered in October, expecting U.S. reimbursement). Some similar resources lingered on a Wiesbaden garrison page but weren’t explicitly tied to shutdown aid. Key Evidence and Sources • Media Coverage: Euronews broke the story on November 5, noting the guidance directed soldiers to “food banks and food sharing organisations where volunteers provide leftover food through public fridges.” Similar reports from Sky News, DW (Deutsche Welle), The Mirror US, and Task & Purpose confirmed the details and swift deletion. • Social Media Buzz: On X (formerly Twitter), posts from November 5–6 amplified the Euronews article, with users like @HeyMaiLady and @Volusianicus sharing links and criticizing the situation as a “national embarrassment.” German users expressed frustration, noting local food banks are already overwhelmed and have months-long waitlists. • No Evidence of Widespread Use: It’s unclear if any U.S. soldiers actually sought or received aid from these banks—officials say the guidance was erroneous for troops, and German services prioritize residents. The Army emphasized essential “life, health, and safety” services continue uninterrupted. Broader Implications This incident highlights the shutdown’s ripple effects on U.S. forces abroad, eroding morale and readiness at key NATO hubs. Critics (including VP JD Vance on X) blame Democrats for the impasse, while others point to Republican demands. As of now, no resolution is in sight, and the Pentagon is exploring more emergency funds. If you’re a service member or family affected, check official channels like the Army’s My Army Post app for updates. This isn’t isolated—past shutdowns (e.g., 2018–2019) delayed pay for 800,000+ federal workers, including military support staff. Let me know if you want more details or links to the archived webpage.

川总发文哈萨克斯坦将加入亚伯拉罕协议(Abraham Accords) 亚伯拉罕协议是什么？ Grok: 《亚伯拉罕协议》是美国在唐纳德·特朗普总统的领导下于2020年斡旋的一系列历史性外交协议，旨在使以色列与几个阿拉伯国家之间的关系正常化。它们代表了中东地缘政治的重大转变，绕过了与以巴冲突相关的传统和平进程，而是专注于相互的经济、安全和文化利益。 关键协议和签署方 •首次签署（2020年）：该协议始于2020年8月以色列和阿拉伯联合酋长国（阿联酋）之间的双边协议，随后于9月签署巴林。这些在2020年9月15日的白宫仪式上正式确定，摩洛哥和苏丹也在当年晚些时候加入（由于内部不稳定，苏丹的全面双边协议被推迟）。 •核心原则：宣言强调和平、相互尊重、宗教自由以及亚伯拉罕信仰（犹太教、伊斯兰教和基督教）之间的合作。它们包括承诺打击极端主义，促进宗教间对话，并扩大贸易、技术、国防、能源、旅游和医疗保健方面的联系。 影响和发展 •经济和战略收益：自2020年以来，这些协议刺激了数十亿美元的贸易（例如，阿联酋-以色列双边贸易到2023年达到26亿美元）和合资企业，如直飞、科技初创公司和国防条约。亚伯拉罕协议和平研究所等组织预计未来十年的区域经济活动将达到1万亿美元，并将有400万个工作岗位。 •挑战：签署国的舆论仍然褒贬不一，广泛批评将巴勒斯坦人权利放在一边。从2023年10月开始的以色列-哈马斯战争期间，这些协议面临紧张，导致交战减少（例如，以色列公司跳过了2025年迪拜航展）。一些阿拉伯声音甚至将这些协议与紧张局势加剧联系起来。 最近的扩张（截至2025年11月） 2025年11月6日——当前日期——特朗普总统宣布哈萨克斯坦正式加入《亚伯拉罕协议》，标志着第一个加入的中亚国家。哈萨克总统卡西姆-乔马特·托卡耶夫证实，这一主要是象征性的步骤侧重于经济机会，并被视为加沙停火后倡议的复兴。美国官员暗示进一步扩张，可能包括阿塞拜疆、乌兹别克斯坦、利比亚甚至亚美尼亚，尽管沙特阿拉伯的参与仍然与巴勒斯坦建国的进展有关。特朗普政府认为这是为更广泛的区域稳定建立一个“力量俱乐部”。 总体而言，这些协议一直作为降级和繁荣的务实框架，尽管其长期成功取决于解决像加沙这样的未解决的冲突。有关声明的全文，请查看美国国务院的档案。

This is supposed to be… was broken and glued up…

美国是如何获得最现代化的太阳能电池板工厂的？ 嗯，中国企业集团Trina Solar在美国建了一家太阳能电池板工厂。去年年底，就在工厂开业几天后，Trina被迫将其出售给Freyr Battery（现更名为T1 Energy）。发生这种情况是因为美国国会威胁要通过一项名为“美国太阳能电池板制造税法”的法案，如果工厂仍由中国拥有，该法案将破坏该工厂的商业模式。因此，美国设法创建了自己的现代工厂来制造太阳能电池板。 Grok 事实核查： 美国通过外国投资和随后在地缘政治和立法压力驱动的国内收购相结合，收购了其最先进的太阳能电池板制造设施之一。 2023年，中国太阳能巨头Trina Solar投入大量资金，在德克萨斯州威尔默建造了一个尖端的5千兆瓦（GW）太阳能组件组装厂，旨在利用《减少通货膨胀法案》（IRA）下的有利可图的美国税收优惠，包括45倍的制造业生产税收抵免，随着时间的推移，该税收抵免可能价值近20亿美元。 该设施配备了高效n型TOPCon模块的自动化生产线，于2024年11月1日正式开始运营，将其定位为当时美国现代太阳能制造的旗舰。 然而，仅仅五天后——2024年11月6日——Trina宣布将以3.4亿美元的价格将整个美国制造业务出售给美国电池开发商FREYR Battery，这笔交易于2024年12月24日完成。 这种快速的转向在很大程度上归因于美国对利用爱尔兰共和军补贴的中国公司的审查不断升级，而2024年11月5日唐纳德·特朗普总统当选，特朗普竞选遏制对外国对手的此类激励措施。 一个关键的催化剂是两党立法，如参议员提出的《美国太阳能制造税款法案》（S. 4873）。 Jon Ossoff（D-GA）于2024年8月试图阻止“关注的外国实体”（包括中国拥有的公司）申请45倍的信贷——通过剥夺高达40%的预计收入，可能会使Trina的商业模式不可行。 虽然该法案在2025年1月第118届国会结束前没有通过，但这一威胁，加上现有的关税和对Trina涉嫌逃关税的调查，造成了巨大的压力。 在FREYR的所有权下，该工厂继续作为美国控制的资产，2025年2月，FREYR更名为T1能源，以反映其对太阳能制造和能源储存的广泛关注。 这有效地将一个世界级的设施——能够每年为100多万个美国家庭生产模块——从中国人手中转移到美国手中，在全球贸易紧张局势中加强了国内供应链。 虽然不是唯一一家“最现代化”的工厂（其他工厂，如First Solar的扩张，相互竞争），但其规模、近期和技术规格使其在美国太阳能热潮中脱颖而出。 我的看法： Welcome to America.

以下是我的看法： 1：贸易是基于失衡的，如果一切都是平衡的，就没有必要进行交易。 2：如果包含“货币”，贸易总是平衡的。出口产品就是进口货币，进口产品就是出口货币。 3：中美贸易是单向贸易，货币往一个方向走，产品往另一个方向走，不可能永远持续下去，会伤害双方。 4：中国产品价格极具竞争力，而美国资本具有超强购买力，这就是为什么中国产品接管了世界市场，美国投资接管了世界金融市场。 总的来说，在两个国家之间几十年的贸易中，对双方都有好处，或者可以说对双方都有伤害，这取决于你如何看待它，我自己总是看起来很积极。 谢谢。 原帖来自美国贸易代表办公室： 谷歌翻译： 几十年来，美国的全球竞争力在单方面贸易关系的重压下受到侵蚀。这种缺乏平衡和互惠导致贸易逆差，近年来随着我们的工业基础的枯萎，贸易逆差激增，总统紧急采取行动解决这一国家经济紧急情况。 特朗普总统的关税正在重置我们的贸易关系条款。在短短十个月内，他达成了历史性交易，为美国工人和生产者提供公平的竞争环境。 对于美国的经济和国家安全来说，特朗普总统在面对这一紧急情况时，必须能够行使国会授予他的权力来征收关税。