investment research & market insights ————— former portfolio manager

Not Financial Advice
Joined January 2025
Alright folks, honest question… A few months ago, Tom Lee said $ETH is going to $10K - $12K by year-end, and last week on CNBC he doubled down on this. What do you personally think will be the price of the $ETH at year-end? $BMNR $SBET $ETHZ
42% $3K - $5K
42% $5K - $7K
9% $7K - $10K
7% $10K+
81 votes • Final results
42% $3K - $5K
42% $5K - $7K
9% $7K - $10K
7% $10K+
81 votes • Final results
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“Good morning. I have some bad news about your $CMG calls”
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Actually, we experience bear markets often Nasdaq 100 Bear Markets: 5 in 10 years 2015: -25% 2018: -23% 2020: -30% 2022: -37% 2025: -25%
Anyone under 40 has never experienced a true bear market, and most aren’t prepared for one.
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Someone should’ve told Powell: The consumer is on life support 🏥 Consumer stocks from all-time highs: $SBUX: -33% (Coffee) $CMG: -51% (Casual Dining) $NKE: -63% (Shoes/Clothes) $TGT: -65% (Shopping) $CZR: -84% (Vegas) Trump was right, rates should be lower.
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Me when my wife asks why I keep supporting $PYPL even though it’s returned +0% over the past 4 years.
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The Fed might be WAY behind on rate cuts Trade Deals = Lower Tariff Rates Lower Tariff Rates = Lower Inflation Lower Inflation = Lower Yields Lower Yields = Risk-On We need a 50 bps ‘catch-up’ cut soon.
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$PYPL You can’t make this up In typical PayPal fashion, after being up +20% this morning on an earnings beat, guidance raise, and OpenAI partnership announcement — the stock has given up nearly all of its gains on the day. Now up +4.7%… PainPal
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PayPal x OpenAI Partnership $PYPL +17%
If $PYPL entered into a partnership with OpenAI, the stock would be down -3%
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GIF
Since we’re all just making stats for Shohei now: Ohtani is the first Japanese born MLB player to play in a Game 3 of a World Series Game that went at least 15 innings when the temperature was below 75 degrees.
With his third consecutive intentional walk, Shohei Ohtani is the first player in postseason history to reach base seven times in a game. Two home runs, two doubles, three free passes.
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I am pleased to announce I have just purchased an equity stake in $GLXY Deal terms as follows: .0000001% ownership at $36.50 (200 shares) I can’t wait to hit the ground running and am excited to participate in this journey with fellow equity stakeholders.
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PREDICTIONS FOR JEROME POWELL OCT PRESS CONFERENCE (OCT 29TH) Consumer Confidence NO Good Afternoon YES Unchanged NO Median NO Trump NO Pandemic NO Yield Curve NO Uncertainty (5x) NO Pardon YES Balance Sheet YES
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Is that the Ethereum logo in green?
NEW $3 BILLION HQ JPMorgan $JPM opened its brand new $3 Billion Headquarters this week in center of New York City The new 60-story building right next to Grand Central station will hold 10,000 employees x.com/exec_sum/status/198177… The tower has 19 restaurants and an assortment of coffee shops that employees can order from in a building-specific app and get it delivered to their desks The HQ also includes a state of the art wellness facility, medical services, meditation spaces, a company store, and biometric access—and it’s open all hours of the day.
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Financial Coaches on X: Make smart decisions and optimize your capital Also Financial Coaches on X:
The only good mortgage is a paid off one Our biggest monthly expense is gone 💰
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What do we think of $BYND here?
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Justin Herbert came into Week 8 leading the NFL in passing yards. He has already thrown for 227 yards and 3 TDs tonight. Now on pace to throw and run for 5,000+ yards this season. Still only has a 4% chance to win MVP, while Mahomes has a 34% chance. Chargers 5-3 Chiefs 4-3
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$BETR is squeezing $100s next?
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$ETH is having one of its worst 50-day rolling performance periods since 2015. While it could certainly go lower, history suggests we’re getting close to a short/term bottom.
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Morgan Stanley is advising clients to invest between 2% - 4% of their portfolios in $BTC Some won’t. Some already do. Some will. MS manages $1.8T in assets For every 1% that flows into $BTC, it would absorb nearly 1% of $BTC supply. Then remember there’s JPM, Goldman, BofA
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People who bought $BYND this morning:
We’ve reached peak capital markets
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