investment research & market insights ————— former portfolio manager

Not Financial Advice
Joined January 2025
🚨 STAGFLATION ALERT The Equal Weight S&P 500, $RSP, is now FLAT since November 2024. Since November 2021? ONLY +15% That’s a 4-Year Annual Return of +3.7% Average CPI during this period: +4.5% Over the last 4 years the Equal Weight S&P 500 has a real return of -0.8% Wow.
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Prediction: Colts fans are going to learn about Daniel Jones in the most brutal way possible later this year. Sincerely, Giants fan
Everything’s gonna be good. Colts are still gonna win The Super Bowl
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The playbook is clear: Step 1: Put $2,000 down on a home (0.5% down payment on $400K home) Step 2: Finance the remaining with a 50-year mortgage Buy Now Pay Later for Housing
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🇺🇸 Government Shutdown Update: The Senate adjourned for the day a few hours ago & is expected to reconvene tomorrow at 10:30 am PST. Senate Republicans are expected to gather for a conference meeting prior to this at 9:30 am PST.
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Why is everyone freaking out about $MSTR needing to make $689M in interest payments in 2026? If $BTC went up 1% tonight, their holdings would increase by $689M.
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Why be in debt for only 30 years, when you can be in debt your entire life?
Donald J. Trump Truth Social Post 02:10 PM EST 11/08/25
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Elon just got a $1 Trillion pay package approved and people want to pitch him small cap equity investment ideas 😂 Keep it simple, long $TSLA
Hey @elonmusk, a mutual friend gave me your number. I want to discuss some small cap equity ideas I think you should consider for your portfolio while they’re still cheap. Perhaps later tonight or over the weekend. It’s somewhat urgent. I texted you so you have my number now.
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I love how we keep asking those most exposed and with the most to lose, whether there’s a bubble in tech. You think Tech CEOs and VCs are going to capitulate their entire business? “Yeah there’s a bubble, our clients should stop ordering from us and investing with us.”
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🚨 Mag 7 has joined the selloff $MAGS The Mag 7 Index is now -6.1% off its highs, returning to levels from Sept 18th — wiping out nearly 2 months of gains. $AAPL: -2.2% $GOOG: -4.8% $AMZN: -7.0% $TSLA: -9.1% $MSFT: -10.5% $NVDA: -14.6% $META: -24.1%
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Finally some good news for $BMNR holders Critics always say it makes no sense to pay a premium for your $ETH. Well, after this selloff, there’s almost no premium left in the stock. We did it 🎉
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BREAKING: Tesla, $TSLA, shareholders have APPROVED Elon Musk’s $1T pay package. The package includes product goals such as: ➡️ 1M Bots Delivered ➡️ 1M Robotaxis in Commercial Operation ➡️ 10M Active FSD Subscriptions See you at $500+
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Are we headed towards ANOTHER bear market? Take a look at this… The S&P 500 is -2.8% from its highs BUT, many stocks are down between 10% to 25% from its highs over the past month. How is the index still holding up? $NVDA $MSFT $META $SPOT $NFLX $PLTR $HOOD $DASH
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The stock market tells us if we’re in a recession. The reason government data is lagging on recessions is intentional — they don’t want to say: “FYI, our economy is screwed for a while” The amount of stocks that have declined -20% or more on earnings is telling. $DUOL $CELH
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Figma, $FIG, is seriously flying under the radar right now. In Sept 2022, Adobe, $ADBE, announced a deal to buy $FIG for $20B — it ultimately fell apart due to antitrust concerns. Today, $FIG still trades around $20B. Oh, and they’re growing revenues at appx 40% per year.
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$CHYM How often do you see this? Chime Financial just went public a few months ago and has already announced a share repurchase plan. The stock is still -25% from its IPO price of $27/share & makes for a compelling business to own over the next several years.
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$OPEN Such a cool format to source questions. Most impactful questions upvoted and likely to be answered on the Opendoor earnings call tomorrow.
Last call for questions and upvotes at investor.opendoor.com. Our Q&A portal closes in ~5 hours (2pm PT today). We'll be answering questions live during tomorrow's Financial Open House at 2pm PT. See you there.
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Did Zohran Mamdani just trigger the bottom in Bitcoin?
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Breaking: OpenAI is investing $25B in OpenAI at a $750B valuation
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Why $SHAK can go to $700 in 10 years: Shake Shack is targeting 1,500 company-operated stores I think they can hit this goal by 2035 Today (AWS) average weekly sales = $78K Assume 2.5% sales growth, AWS = $100K by 2035 $100K AWS x 52 wks x 1,500 stores = $7.8B 10% Net Income Margin = $780M Profit $780M / 40M shares outstanding = $19.50 EPS $19.50 EPS x 35X P/E = $682.50 Road to 1,500. Shake Shack.
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The crypto selloff is accelerating $BTC: -17% since Oct 6th $ETH: -27% since Oct 6th $SOL: -38% since Sept 18th The big three are down nearly 20% to 40% over the past several weeks with many alt coins down far more. What’s wrong with crypto?
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