Ain’t no way

10% in politics is basically a coin flip with drama 🪙

ooo i'm waiting for it, my stocks will be so red

“10% chance they do it” So… basically the same odds as Congress working a full week

yeah. odds are low that the nuclear option will be used right now.

0%.

it won't happen. too bad

Lame

Is this the new normal or just politics?

I’m surely not understanding this

Of course.

90% chance it doesn’t

wtf?

The GOP would be absolutely retarded to end the filibuster. If Dems win the midterms (which is the likely outcome according to history) they’d absolutely also make use of this for permanent structural changes (think Puerto Rico statehood, extending the Supreme Court). Once the filibuster is abolished, it will never come back. No way this is in the long term interest of Republicans. If Trump gets the them to do this, it would show he has absolute power over the GOP. Would be scary.

Only 10%? Feels low for this timeline.

FACTS: The nuclear option removes the 60-vote Senate threshold for certain votes. It was last used in 2017 to confirm Justice Gorsuch. Current Polymarket odds: 10% yes, 90% no — with $84K in trading volume.

GOP Only has power with their votes… The American people have abandoned those old relics. Most of them are is it for the endless cash and easy workdays. If I had to guess, many of them are probably getting sizable "donations" under cover brother to go against Trump... maybe some future book deals or hefty salaries in highfalutin positions. They don't give a 💩 about the American people

Most republicans are also part of the deep state.

wtf is the nuclear option? Is he using a bomb in congress?

Fascinating insight 10% chance feels like a high stakes gamble for the GOP

markets won't react unless that 10% shifts, gridlock still base case.

I don't like that N-Word

Win will be so big

gop be like

Yeah 10% sounds about right man, GOP talks tough but always folds when it actually matters 🙏

Not big win

I just wanted to remind you, Polymarket number one!

lets hope that this won't happen shall we

Politics turning into probability theory now - feels like we’re all just trading governance on Polymarket at this point.

Nothing ever happens.

"10%" does NOT mean "Expected"

bro thinks he’s in a Call of Duty lobby

10%-is too little

10% enough for him

This should have already happed!!!

Except there is a 0% chance.