Agreed and your ilk has yet to provide ONE accurate model. You’ve master the art of the zoomed in curve. But hey if the earth has been warming for 15k years and you then say the earth is going to continue to warm then way to go Captain.

I would argue 7-10 day models are as accurate as a chicken playing tic tac toe. We don’t know what the temperature will be next Thursday, much less a decade from now. It’s literally absurd to even act like we can.

That has to be one of the stupidest climate arguments ever. You can "confidently predict that summer will be warmer than winter" because Earth's orbit is governed by the Sun's gravity, following a predictable elliptical path. Earth's climate is chaotic. Duh!

Climate science is whatever you want it to be.

Climate models have proven themselves to be hopelessly inaccurate.

Many people don’t understand that though. Maybe you should make a post which explains why it might be easier to predict a trend but much harder to predict the random fluctuations around the trend.

we shouldn't be confident bc inductive inference can't be non-circularly supported & nothing in physical theories suggests finite, infinite or indeterminate duration of laws working, nor do we know initial conditions, so we don't know if something that breaks patterns will happen

Climate science's grasp on long-term trends is crucial for planning sustainability in arid regions. Let’s put these insights to practical use in desert ecosystems and beyond!

Lucky for you……nobody will be around to challenge you if you’re wrong a century! 😜

And they’re really bad at it

“Summer warmer than winter” is not a long-term trend, it’s an annual repeating pattern. And clearly, we don’t need a climate model to predict that. Long-term models of complex systems are always questionable: even a good fit to past data isn’t a guarantee of future performance.

But your climate models can't even recreate historical climate patterns & you're telling us they can predict 100yrs into the future? 😆

CC deniers focus on this unpredictably deliberately, creating confusion. The confusion has been sown by those who profit from fossil fuel. In Australia, the majority of past Resource Ministers have post-political careers in FFI. How surprising.

True, but I think we can all agree alarmism and massive policy changes to hurt lower class Americans has only harmed your attempt to get this message across. We need to stop blaming the poor in the USA, to recognizing we can’t stop pollution from other countries.

Bullshit, we know summer is warmer than winter above the tropics because of the Earth's tilt !

“Please give us money to prove our ideas” Take the doctor outta your name boy

Manabe liked qualitative predictions which he laid out in 1983 before much data was available. (shop.elsevier.com/books/adva…) [climateobs.substack.com/p/20…] I plotted comparisons of these ideas. Many of these predictions appear to verify. * Stratosphere Cools And Troposphere Warms * Warming Greater @ High Latitudes Than Low Lat * Warming Greatest During Arctic Winter * Little Seasonality Of Warming At Low Latitudes * Polar Sea Ice Area And Thickness Decrease * Global Mean Evaporation Increases * Snowmelt Season Arrives Earlier * But, Snow Accumulation Season Arrives Earlier Data for some predictions remains uncertain because of inadequate measurements or contradictions between various analyses: ? Global Mean Precipitation Increases ? Runoff Increases At High Latitudes ? Summer Soil Moisture Decrease @ High N Latitudes I also comapred against NASA GISS models. The largest discrepancy appears to be with clouds. Manabe & Bryan (1985) did produce this graphic

You lib scientist use something no one can prove, to fill your wallet. Exhibit A: Al Gore.

Please explain why stochastic forcing, adding random noise to the temperature field in NASA GISS ModelE and other GCMs, doesn't break the laws of Physics and invalidate all the results.

Chaotic, non-linear, systems make climate modelling futile. Since Einstein, determinism is dead, since we now live in a stochastic, non-Newtonian world