Billionbrains Garage Ventures Limited (Groww) IPO
Final Verdict
Risk Takers Can Apply For Medium-Long Term
Highlights of the Issue :
Date : 4-7 November
Price Band : 95-100
Size : 6,632 Crore
Fresh - 1,060 Crore
OFS - 5,572 Crore
M.cap : 61,736 Crore
Objects Of The Issue :
▪︎ Brand building and performance marketing activities - 225 Cr
▪︎ Investment in NBFC Subsidiary for Augmentating its Capital Base - 205 Cr
▪︎ Funding Margin Trading Facility (MTF) - 167.5 Cr
▪︎ Expenditure towards cloud infrastructure - 152.5 Cr
▪︎ Funding Inorganic Initiatives and GCP - 310 Cr
Key Pointers :
▪︎ Groww is a New-Age D2C Digital Investments Platform and India’s Largest & Fastest Growing Investment Platform by Active Users
▪︎ Groww's offerings include Stocks (Investing and Trading), Derivatives, IPOs, Bonds, Mutual Funds, Commodities, Etc. And also offers services like MTF, Personal Loans; Groww also has its own Mutual Fund
▪︎ The Company has diverse customer base covering 98.4% Pincodes in India with very young Customers Base with 45% of Active Users were under 30 years old and ~21% were between 31 and 35 years old as of Q1 FY26
▪︎ The Company’s market share in Retail Cash ADTO (Average Daily Turnover) across BSE and NSE increased from 12.66% in FY 2024 to 19.31% in FY25 and 23.66% in the Q1 FY26
▪︎ The Company Aquired Fisdom, A Wealth Management Solutions Startup for $150 Mn (FY24 Revenue at 84 Cr and Net Loss at 57.4 Cr)
▪︎ Groww is looking to drive growth via Up-selling new financial products and value added services; Increase wallet share of MTF, LAS, Wealth Management, Etc.
Financials and Personal Assumptions
FY23
Revenue : 1,141.5 Crore
PAT : 457.7 Crore
FY24
Revenue : 2,609.3 Crore
Adjusted PAT : 541 Crore
FY25
Revenue : 3,901.7 Crore
PAT : 1,824.4 Crore
Q1 FY26
Revenue : 948.5 Crore
PAT : 378.4 Crore
Projecting Future Estimates and Assigning Target Multiples is practically not possible as the tightening of the Regulator on Expiries leading to significantly effect on Trading Volumes
Q1 was a Revenue degrowth of (9.6%) and degrowth in Active Clients and Comparatively slower growth in new users
Hence the FY26 is not predictable as there might be further Positive/ Negatives change in rules from the Regulator which would affect Groww and the Financial Platform Ecosystem in Positive/ Negative Manner
On 34× FY25 PAT, it looks reasonable to decently priced but there are chances on FY26 being a Flat to High single digit- Low Double Digit Revenue growth with negative or Muted Bottomline growth (Fisdom consolidation will also see some one time adjustments and its also a loss making Entity)
Even if there's some growth in FY26, at these Valuations it doesn't discounts the sluggish FY26, Leading to uncertainty over Short term upside
Hence only Risk Takers Can Evaluate For Medium T9 Long-term Horizon
Positives :
▪︎ Strong Brand Recall
▪︎ Large Customer Base with Immense Upselling initiatives
▪︎ Direct Beneficiary of India's Robustly growing capital Markets
▪︎ High Operational Leverage
▪︎ Good Promoters
▪︎ Young and Dynamic Management
▪︎ Asset-Light and Scalable Business Model
▪︎ A Complete Stack of Financial products in a single platform
▪︎ Expectations of increase in AARPU due to more young consumer and increased literacy towards financial products
Negatives :
▪︎ Significant Regulator Intervention
▪︎ Uncertainty towards FY26 growth and Profitability
▪︎ Decent Valuations (Could have been more attractive)
▪︎ Always a hanging sword of further supply from PE investors
▪︎ Recent Trends of a shift back to traditional brokers from New-age platforms
Personally felt that the Valuations could have been better by 10-20%
Just A Personal View, Only For Educational Purposes