Ex-TradFi. Like/retweets are NOT endorsements. Not financial advice.

Singapore
Joined November 2010
JUST IN: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Bank of England to limit stablecoin holdings to £20,000.
YG retweeted
⚠️ALERT: BITCOIN OPENS A CME GAP IN THE $104K–$105K! Watch closely for a potential retest.👀
I wanted to bring up a really important point mentioned by Joe: Fidelity now allows you to deposit spot BTC into your brokerage account. Sell it. Buy stocks or an ETF. And then swap those for actual BTC. This is a key change. It's not widely advertised. But it wont stay un challenged for long. Schwab, JPM and yes, even BA will follow suit. With all these macro / big picture ideas why anyone would "want to trade the tape" Wynn style leveraging up 50-100x is insane to me. But to each his own.
⚡️ LATEST: Bitcoin OGs could be selling their holdings to shift into ETFs for tax advantages and to diversify their portfolios, says Uphold's head of research Dr. Martin Hiesboeck.
Strategy's 5 IPOs in 2025 ranks 3rd as the biggest IPO capital raises of this century. It’s actually kind of insane when you see it clearly. 1. Rivian (2021) – $11.9B 2. LG Energy (2022) – $10.76B 3. Strategy Preferreds (2025) – $5.54B 4. Arm (2023) – $4.87B 5. Lineage (2024) – $4.4B 6. Kenvue (2023) – $3.8B 7. Venture Global LNG (2025) – $1.75B So yes, Strategy is firmly in 3rd place out of the entire dataset, and they pulled it off not with one IPO, but with a machine-gun sequence of preferred offerings executed over a few months. It’s genuinely wild. You now have: Strategy raising more capital than ARM, Kenvue, Lineage, and basically everyone except Rivian and LG Energy. A non-S&P500 company out-raising household-name megacaps. A company whose entire capital raise directly buys Bitcoin instead of factories, property, trucks, or overhead. Still one of the most under-discussed financial stories of the decade. BULLISH.
A week ago, S&P 500 Q3 earnings were up 10.7% YoY. Today is it 13.0%. Earnings continue to drive this bull market.
$BTC weekly tightest squeeze ever for the weekly Bollinger Bands Got the expected headfake then closed back inside the bands and above the 50 MA all while forming a bullish falling wedge. Beautiful setup. The door is open for bulls to follow through with a breakout this week.
$BTC weekly tightest squeeze in history for the weekly Bollinger Bands prior squeezes led to a headfake lower and then a rip higher
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Time for BTC to run. This WSJ headline is about Treasury companies, which I don’t particularly espouse, but when you see this negative crypto bias, with an article about moms buying silver coins directly below, you know it’s time for Bitcoin to rip.
Bitcoin managed to close above the 50W SMA
$BTC's CME Chart is looking quite a bit different than the regular charts. This is because it misses a lot of price action from the weekend's (when it's not open for trading). This makes it so the Daily 200MA/EMA are sitting at $104K instead of $108K-$110K. And as you can see on the CME chart, these have been respected quite well and price is actually still right against them. Can be a good one to watch and give a bit of an alternate view. These are key to hold to maintain the high timeframe bullish momentum in my opinion.
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Trump says Americans will get at least a $2000 dividend payment, excluding high-income earners Remember what happened to Bitcoin after the 2020 stimulus? 👀
Hypothetical scenario: What if the 2025 chop was the 2026 bear market arriving ahead of scheduled simply because everyone tried to front-run it?
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MVRV-Z = (Market Value - Realized Value) / Price Volatility. Deep negative = price far below what holders paid on average. This metric has nailed every major market bottom in Bitcoin’s history. When price trades this far below realized value, it’s usually fuel for the next leg up.
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Literally every month in 2025 has been very different to what people expected in terms of seasonality
Everyone seems to be perplexed that BTC suddenly stopped following M2. The reason this chart is broken is because liquidity that never actually reaches the markets can't bid up price. It's a market plumbing issue. BTC responds to who HAS the liquidity, not just how MUCH exists in aggregate. You'll notice the correlation broke at almost the exact moment the RRP was run down. That was the moment we saw the TGA start sucking market tradable liquidity out of the system. Although global M2 still went higher the liquidity layer that actually touches the market trended lower due to the rebuild. On top of this crypto as a whole and especially altcoins responds more to YOY liquidity MOMENTUM not just global M2 heading higher. AKA how fast is liquidity rising or falling. I've highlighted this before but every single altseason and major bull run lines up perfectly with YOY liquidity momentum exploding higher. This is why alts have felt dead and not comparable to past cycles. There hasn't been enough momentum in liquidity for it to spill over into alts. That and BTC has been driven primarily by a really strong narrative coupled with ETF flows which basically for the first time allowed access into boomer retail money. The M2 BTC chart should start to correlate again once we see market tradable liquidity start to move higher as well. I believe our next major burst in YOY liquidity is due for 2026. This will be crypto's first 5 year cycle.
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$STRC is expanding on the weekly. Volume up over 41% since last week alone.🤯
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YG retweeted
👀 On my mind this morning…. $BTC or $TSLA 📈 So I asked ChatGPT-5 whether it thinks $IBIT or $TSLA “will generate a higher return over the next ten years.” Entire answer from AI is in quotes and between flames👇 🔥 “Short answer: $IBIT (Bitcoin) is likelier to outperform $TSLA over the next 10 years. Here’s my take—tight and probabilistic: •My odds: IBIT beats TSLA on 10-yr total return ~65/35. •Base-case CAGR bands (from today’s levels): •IBIT/BTC: 15–30% CAGR (sound money + adoption + halving cycle reflexivity; upside tail if BTC becomes a larger reserve/SoV). •TSLA: 8–20% CAGR (EVs + energy + software attach; dilution and margin compression are the drags). •Why IBIT over TSLA: 1.Asymmetry: BTC’s terminal addressable “monetary premium” still offers fatter right-tail outcomes than auto/energy hardware. 2.Operational risk: IBIT is pure BTC exposure with minimal execution risk; TSLA must simultaneously defend auto margins, scale energy, and commercialize autonomy/robots. 3.Dilution/leverage: TSLA’s growth likely requires continual capex and potential share issuance; BTC supply is programmatically capped. •When TSLA wins: •Robotaxi reaches real L4 at scale (regulated, high utilization) and software margins dominate auto—sustained 30%+ net with massive services ARPU. •Optimus becomes a real product line (multi-hundred-thousand units, non-trivial GM). •Energy storage grows >50% CAGR with durable margins. Bottom line (my opinion): Unless you believe in near-certain, timely robotaxi + humanoid commercialization, the cleaner bet for higher 10-yr returns is IBIT. If you want exposure to the TSLA upside tails without overbetting execution risk, keep TSLA but let BTC/IBIT be the heavyweight.” 🔥
As we have gotten some inquiries, I can confirm that we have unwound our $MSTR/Bitcoin hedged trade as of yesterday’s open.
₿uy Now
$BTC weekly wick below the 50 SMA + lower Bollinger Band