Underneath all the hype around AGI timelines and bubble predictions, agents are continuing to improve – fast. We’re starting to see hints of reliable computer use, and soon we’ll have agents that can massively boost solo entrepreneurship and automate big chunks of knowledge work. @Quora CEO Adam D’Angelo and @Replit CEO Amjad Masad sit down with Erik Torenberg to discuss the potential of AI progress over the next 5 years, the economic impacts of cheap AI labor, the societal impacts of broad solopreneurship, and whether there are glimmers of consciousness in today’s AIs. 00:00 Introduction 00:41 The bearishness paradox: "I don't know what people are talking about" 04:25 "Functional AGI" & brute forcing your way to automation 11:18 "We are in a human expertise regime" 15:31 The weird equilibrium: automating entry-level but not experts 17:22 The expert data paradox 24:44 The sovereign individual: a prediction framework for the AI era 28:51 "Vastly increased what a single person can do" 45:04 "It's gonna be the decade of agents" 49:01 Managing tens of agents in parallel 52:56 "I actually think vibecoding is unbelievably high potential" 58:47 Claude 4.5's strange new awareness @adamdangelo @amasad @eriktorenberg