Local government auditor. MSTR fixed income security suite engineer. Video game aficionado. Building a little local events calendar app.

Joined November 2012
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The MSTR Castle by @altols We did it. Satoshi released BTC into the world and, whether they knew it or not, they created a nearly perfect money. It's pretty much perfect when compared to our current money, at least. The analogy I’ve come to use that resonates most with people is: Clean water: BTC Unpotable water: fiat currency This drives home the point because the one thing we all need to survive in society is MONEY. In fact, money has become a prerequisite to clean water in many places. Yet, as citizens, you have no input on the government printing more money (selling debt). This phrasing helps people ask critical questions about what money is and realize how flawed fiat currency has become due to unchecked inflation and centralized control. MSTR (now rebranded as Strategy) is the first company to issue digital credit backed by the hardest money we have access to: Bitcoin. People have been talking about the moat of Bitcoin for over a year, but I’m not sold on that analogy. Instead, I see Strategy as a castle-like engine built on BTC, designed to be extraordinarily difficult to crack. As hard money begins to pull fiat currency out of the financial system, the entities that control the most BTC will have the most to gain. Strategy is perfectly positioned among companies to capitalize on fiat debasement with minimal risk. Strategy has transformed from a business intelligence software company into the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder, owning approximately 640,250 BTC as of October 12, 2025, acquired at an average price of ~$74,000 per Bitcoin, costing ~$47.38 billion. This represents over 3% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply. The company funds these purchases through equity offerings, convertible debt, and preferred stock issuances like STRC, STRK, STRD, and STRF—forms of "digital credit." For instance, in the week ending October 12, Strategy raised $27.3 million via preferred stocks to acquire 220 BTC at ~$123,561 per coin. These instruments give investors exposure to Bitcoin’s price without direct ownership, reinforcing the "castle" metaphor: a fortified structure built on BTC’s scarcity and resistance to inflation. While Strategy’s debt and equity are tied to its Bitcoin holdings, they aren’t always directly collateralized by BTC, introducing risks like stock volatility and dilution. Its Bitcoin-per-share (BPS) metric and Bitcoin Yield KPI (25.9% YTD as of October 12) highlight this focus, with holdings valued at $69.5 billion at a BTC price of $108,549 on October 16, 2025. This dwarfs its software revenue ($463 million annually), bolstered by fair value accounting, which reported $3.9 billion in Q3 2025 appreciation. There will certainly be companies that outperform BTC alongside Strategy, but it’s harder to analyze the risk profile of firms producing goods or providing complex services, dealing with intricate contracts or hazardous conditions. People spend lifetimes studying corporate valuation, navigating risks tied to operations and macroeconomics (like money printing). These risks don’t apply to Strategy in the same way. Its simpler model focused on Bitcoin accumulation avoids operational complexities. Though it does introduce financial risks: high volatility (beta 4) and leverage from ~$8.2 billion in convertible notes. A 30% BTC drop in March 2025 caused a $5.9 billion unrealized loss. Even today (10/16/25), among market uncertainty MSTR’s share price closed at $283.54, down 4.45% on the day. Still, competitors like MARA (53,000 BTC) or Riot (~20,000 BTC) hold less Bitcoin, giving Strategy a first-mover edge. Even the US government doesnt hold as much BTC as Strategy. They really do seem like they are in a league of their own. I believe we are near the endgame. Over the next 10-20 years, our generations will witness a transition from trustless fiat currencies to the verification and security of BTC and layered solutions as a dominant store of capital. Strategy ₿ appears to be best positioned to capitalize on this emergence of digital capital. "The endgame is we accumulate a trillion dollars worth of Bitcoin and then we grow that capital by issuing more credit" -@Saylor
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You seem to be alluding to you acting on some information that has NOT been made public. This is the reason I don’t follow. If you have information, share it. If you’re not going to share it, then I assume you’re unethical a best, breaking the law at worst.
Replying to @TheBTCTherapist
It will be obvious soon.
Shares of MSTR, which steals volatility from the stock and steals the ability of the company to offer shares ATM.
If history repeats, we likely saw a fu k ton of FTDs build up over the last few weeks and today, they will have all disappeared as the shares will be purchased now that the price has declined significantly. This is evidence that entities are strategically failing to deliver
My namesake 🤝
100-year-old World War II Veteran Alec Penstone dropping truth bombs all over UK live morning TV: "What we fought for was our freedom, even now [the country] is worse than it was when I fought for it".
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mNAV approaching the area of “WTF how can an accumulation of 3% of all of the hardest money we have ever known be worth less than the face value” -zone. Which has been an area of interest for me. Patience has paid off but we still gotta get a basing pattern going here….right?
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What if someone got liquidated at $xxx.xx price on MSTR. I know that sort of thing happens on crypto exchanges all the time so it’s really not that much of a stretch to theorize liquidations would cause cascades down in MSTR stock price.
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I gotta wonder if there was a leveraged long MSTR holder that got blown up. This is a pure dump of shares for the last few weeks.
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NOT CONSTRUCTIVE. when the bottom reversal drops out like that it screams LOOK OUT BELOW. This spot was extremely strong support so losing that, if price action doesn’t pop back up over that macro bottom, holders are gonna be in for a looong next few months.
Starting to see some constructive price action. Close tomorrow above yesterday’s high and I’ll start getting bullish again. Looking for $258.21 tomorrow at close to confirm this Bottom Reversal candle. Even more bullish if we can show a strong stage 2 breakout. Watching.
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Starting to see some constructive price action. Close tomorrow above yesterday’s high and I’ll start getting bullish again. Looking for $258.21 tomorrow at close to confirm this Bottom Reversal candle. Even more bullish if we can show a strong stage 2 breakout. Watching.
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VICTORIAAAAA $VSCO green dots continues over a green trackline. This is why I keep my stop-loss down a bit under that trackline once the stage 2 begins. When the dots print… so do we @ZeroHedge_
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Thank you @BenWerkman for inspiring this phenomenal response during the Q&A of the MSTR Q3 2025 earnings call. I’ll clip it up later to grab the sound bites I most enjoyed.
Alec retweeted
Replying to @SteveUrkelDude
I was finishing my masters in accounting and finance and my profs were always going on about how we have to protect the integrity of the industry, and financial crimes lead to felonies, white collar criminals get jail time. They were so naïve.
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The temptation to YOLO my entire portfolio into STRD at 12% effective, collect perpetual dividends tax deferred, and never look at it again. . .
I support replacing SNAP with MREs
when does @X Black Friday sale start?
My two trades are still locked in. $VSCO And $GOOGL continue to show strength after the breakout setups. MSTR still lagging and not looking great against BTC(IBIT) I added some spot last week but this is not the high probability setup a trader is looking for.
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Seems we have educated our peers so well they aren’t phased in the slightest by this pullback. If you’re risk adverse you probably already shifted to prefs If your a bitcoiner you expect this volatility If you’re a strategy enjoyer, you’ve waited for this dip for months
MSTR premarket price still remains above the closing price from February 2025.
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Alec retweeted
Strategy is offering $STRE (“Stream”), our first ever Euro-Denominated Perpetual Preferred Stock, to European and global institutional investors. $MSTR
$SATA launching at 12% is major news. To me, this says $ASST believes their instrument to carry 1.5% (14%) MORE risk than $MSTR ‘s $STRC. Will the market agree? Price action will tell.
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