On day three of counting the all-mail-in ballots, Seattle’s incumbent mayor, Bruce Harrell, retains a comfortable if slightly narrowed lead over the progressive challenger who bested him in the primary, Katie Wilson: 52.6% to 46.9%.
Little has been said about Seattle’s mayoral election, where, like in NYC, a progressive candidate, Katie Wilson, bested the incumbent Democratic mayor, Bruce Harrell, in the primary. But on the 2nd day of counting the all mail-in ballots, Harrell has expanded his lead to 8 pnts.
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My math could be off, but I think Wilson needs about 58% of the remaining tally to win.

Nov 7, 2025 · 12:43 AM UTC

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Mike Baker says it’ll be close:
Replying to @ByMikeBaker
In 2021, Harrell's daily proportions for the first five drops went 65%, 62%, 54%, 49%, then 50%. This time he has gone from 53%, then 57%, now 48%. Also of note: ~200,000 mayoral votes were tallied by day 3 a few years ago. We're at day 3 again, but only 175,000 votes counted.
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Baker estimates she needs about 55% of the remaining haul to win:
Replying to @benryanwriter
The county says there are about ~100,000 votes left in Seattle. So I think Wilson only needs about 55% to make up the ~10,000-vote gap. But those remaining vote numbers also seem to be a very rough estimate.