The Shanghai lockdown has been somewhat misinterpreted as a quick, efficient, 8-day exercise. This misses the fact that many many areas of the city have already been locked down for several weeks and that more areas will remain that way for longer. 1/

Mar 30, 2022 · 4:44 AM UTC

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The announced 8-day lockdown (4 days in eastern half and 4 in west) is a means of identifying cases. Once new cases are found—and they will probably find a lot—those areas will continue to be closed. Many businesses already know this. If u ask shop owners … 2/
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when they plan to reopen, many will say they don’t know. People are stocking up for much longer than 4 days. Also, there are big disparities between districts. Central (wealthy) areas have had it much easier than outlying districts but are often taken to rep the city as a whole3/
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Walking around in Huangpu this morning there’s an air of normalcy. But if u talk with people in Putuo or parts of Pudong, they have been under strict lockdowns for weeks. The 8-day lockdown doesn’t mean much. Hope this wraps up soon but April will probably be a tough month here
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Reuters has spotted some places in west Shanghai where new 7day lockdowns have popped up 2days in advance. Imho this doesn't mean a citywide lockdown has started early. It shows its impossible to predict when a knee-jerk, snap lockdown will occur reut.rs/35nvLPp
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Replying to @donweinland
You leave HK and restrictions <<cough>> loosen; you move to SH and restrictions <<sneeze>> tighten. Coincidence? Correlation? You’re like the reverse @Birdyword!
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a friend recently accused me of being a "lockdown chaser", kinda like a storm chaser but for big covid policy mistakes. I guess that makes me the Bill Paxton of zero covid
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Replying to @donweinland @Chesh
Same situation in Shenzhen. This was broadly announced as a 1 week circuit breaker of sorts, but parts Futian (especially South Futian) experienced 33 days in total.
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Replying to @donweinland
Yes, everyone here is anxious to see what happens starting Friday in Pudong and then on 5th in Puxi. Opinion is definitely polarizing, speaking to friends it’s 50:50, people either love it or loathe it
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Replying to @donweinland
If the cases in Pudong don't drop to close to zero, there's zero chance of them opening again on Saturday as previously announced. Best to read the "from -> until x" dates as "from -> until x, at the earliest"
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Replying to @donweinland @gladstein
Could this be cover for china to print money to avoid a credit crises?
Replying to @donweinland
Yep. Currently on day 20😶
Replying to @donweinland
If you read the most recent Xinhua statement on 3/31, China will stick with Zero Covid policy and Shanghai is considered as a failed example.
Replying to @donweinland
i believe there is a term for this: 随机应变. you can always plan for something but then your plan will have to adjust based on the development. there is nothing wrong about this approach. it does take a lot of flexibility and cooperation to succeed.
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