Replying to @chenyi1976
台湾的统治阶层就是日本人。以200万在台日本人为基础。他们的目的是送其余的2100万台湾人来承接大陆的子弹,我们的目的是赶走这200万日本人、保护好2100万台湾同胞。
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每一次转移iPhone,看着以前日日打开的app,因为生活环境的迁移,变得越来越陌生,终至于到了此刻决心删除。对着屠刀下抖动的那个app,不免戚戚然。
托蒙德·不服周 retweeted
照片右下角拎包的人,眼熟吗? 1980年5月25日,中央军委秘书长耿飚在副总参谋长刘华清的陪同下率领中国军事代表团访问美国,其间代表团登上了美国海军的CV-61“突击者”号航母参观。
美国总统重提G2,的确又一次给欧盟带来了精神伤害。上一次奥巴马提G2 的时候,所谓的 G7 就意见很大,以至于美国不得不借原来并不重要的 G20 的旧瓶来装 G2 的酒。
Europe just crossed a massive red line for China: this is more provocative a move that even the US themselves EVER dared do. It never happened before. Which makes this move frankly incomprehensible: why would Europe cross a line that even the US - even when it was at the peak of its power - always considered it couldn't afford to cross? All the more for an issue where Europe has no role, and when Europe is far more dependent on Chinese trade than the US? There's nothing to gain here for Europe, and a lot to lose: this move is purely destructive. There's only one precedent I can think of: in 1995 when ROC president Lee Teng-hui spoke at Cornell University (his alma mater). This was framed as a PRIVATE visit (he spoke at a university, not Congress), and it was done at a time when China was orders of magnitude less powerful (and the US immensely more powerful relative to China), but it still sparked the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis. And, to boot, the US never repeated the experiment - Washington learned that even this lesser provocation wasn't worth the cost. In fact, nowadays the U.S. doesn't so much as allows Taiwanese officials to even transit via the U.S.: earlier this year the Trump administration blocked President Lai from merely transiting U.S. soil on his way to Latin America, forcing him to cancel his trip altogether (responsiblestatecraft.org/tr…). Yet Europe - with a fraction of America's leverage - just hosted Taiwan's VP at its Parliament. Pure madness. So why would they do that? One can only speculate. First of all this move was organized by IPAC, the so-called "Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China", a global grouping of legislators whose sole raison d'être is to escalate confrontation with China and perform anti-China theatrical gestures. Important context, IPAC was co-founded by Marco Rubio - now U.S. Secretary of State - who served as its inaugural U.S. Co-Chair. So there's a likely scenario where this move was done at the behest of Washington in order to poison relations between China and the U.S., especially at a moment when the EU is apparently discussing with China a Free-Trade Agreement (FTA) similar in spirit to the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI) (x.com/fbermingham/status/198…), another EU-China FTA to which the U.S. was vehemently opposed and which they managed to torpedo. How did the US torpedo the CAI? This is where it gets interesting: with an extremely similar move. In March 2021 they got EU parliamentarians to impose sanctions on four Chinese officials (politico.eu/article/eu-impos…) because they were linked to the so-called "Uyghur genocide", knowing full well that this would invite Chinese retaliation. And sure enough China responded by sanctioning EU officials, which immediately led all the Atlanticist MPs in the EU to scream bloody murder: "how could they do this to us? This unprovoked aggression is absolutely unacceptable! We cannot possibly do a trade deal under those conditions! Bla, bla, bla". The CAI was dead. More details on the CAI move here: x.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1… So that could be a scenario: Washington orchestrated this provocation through IPAC to trigger Chinese retaliation, giving Atlanticist MEPs the pretext to kill EU-China trade talks - all as a way to ensure Europe remains America's economic chasse gardée, limiting EU-China economic integration. The exact same playbook that worked to destroy the CAI in 2021. Under this scenario, ironically the U.S. doesn't want to anger China themselves because they want maximum room to maneuver in their own bilateral relationship. A strategic flexibility they don't want Europe to have. There could also, interestingly, be an exact opposite reading: European Atlanticists deliberately sabotaging the warming US-China relationship and Trump's "G2" overtures. Host Taiwan's VP → provoke Chinese retaliation → weaponize the crisis to force US escalation → make Trump-Xi accommodation politically impossible. The nightmare scenario for European Atlanticists is a US-China grand bargain that marginalizes Europe entirely, so they engineer provocations that make such a deal untenable. Though, let's be clear, this assumes a level of strategic sophistication that seems beyond the current crop of European parliamentarians. But who knows... Or it could also very well be simpler than all that: Atlanticist MEPs acting out of pure ideological conviction - European politicians who are so detached from the material realities of power, so marinated in transatlantic think tank talking points, and frankly so irresponsible, that they'll sacrifice European interests on the altar of their own moral self-image - treating great power relations as an opportunity for virtue signaling, consequences be damned. Or it could be a mix of the above, or something else entirely. One thing is sure though: this undoubtedly WILL further poison EU-China relations, which IS against EU interests because Europe's optimal strategic position is to maintain better relations with both Washington and Beijing than they have with each other. That's where Europe's leverage lies - as the balancer, the one both sides need to court. That's how you extract concessions and preserve options. This move destroys this optionality and shows that Europe - through manipulation, ideology, or sheer strategic incompetence - continues waging a war of anti-independence against itself.
托蒙德·不服周 retweeted
AI这个事情,目前来看,只有中美两个玩家,中国缺芯片,美国缺电力。目前中国的做法是针对买了国产芯片用来训练的公司进行电费补贴,把能耗给降下来。而国内的数据中心都在西南和大西北那边,特别是大西北那边,光伏是很便宜的。那么就形成一个新的产业链:买国产GPU---建数据中心---用光伏电---拿补贴。一条完整的产业链,皆大欢喜。GPU需求起来了,寒武纪股价涨了。算力有了,光伏需求起来了,光伏股票涨价了,补贴发出去,在银行空转的钱终于找到可以投资的落脚点了。这是一种基建的做法。单位效率不行,就量大出奇迹。中美在算力方面,我之前就说过了,在AI时代,算力即国力,中国这么搞,美国必然不会落下。有没有泡沫,必然有泡沫。中国前几年大力补贴电动车,当时电动车百花齐放,这两年已经死差不多了。但是活下来的电动车打确实在全球车企之中占据了一定的地位。从这一点来说,电动车的补贴是成功的。后面AI的补贴我认为国内依然会采用这样的做法。
托蒙德·不服周 retweeted
BREAKING: James Watson, who helped discover the structure of DNA, has died at 97.
托蒙德·不服周 retweeted
Yep, totally
Sam Altman's core competencies are manipulating investors and manipulating tech nerds.
下面这几段是杨振宁先生亲自谈“直觉”的代表性表述与要点(含出处与时间): •2012年在《物理》期刊发表的自述里,他以“等速圆周运动加速度向心”这件事为例,说自己起初与“直觉感受不同”,经过一两天思考才想通,并由此总结:“一方面直觉非常重要,可是另一方面又要能及时吸取新的观念修正自己的直觉。”  •同一文中,他强调要把既有体验提炼为可用的直觉,再用新概念修正为“更正确的直觉”;当“直觉”和书本不一致时,正是最该把问题想清楚、更新直觉的时刻。  •2015年在南方科技大学的演讲,他明确提出:“直觉与书本知识冲突,是最好的学习机会。”(现场报道与整理稿均有记录)。  •在谈到物理学中的“对称”时,他多次提醒学生:“有一个数学上的公式,这个不够,你必须要把那个数学上的公式变成你的直觉。”(演讲整理稿与视频文字转录)。  小结 杨振宁关于“直觉”的核心主张可以概括为三点: 1.直觉极其重要,但要在冲突中修正; 2.用新观念把经验提炼为更可靠的直觉; 3.在高层次学习/研究中,要把抽象公式内化为直觉,才能真正驾驭复杂概念(如对称原理)。 
托蒙德·不服周 retweeted
Dick Cheney, the influential GOP vice president to George W. Bush and chief architect of the "war on terror," has died. He was 84. cnn.it/4nAveLS
托蒙德·不服周 retweeted
Prince William uses an electric scooter for the three mile journey between his home and Windsor Castle
大疆会彻底转向影像市场,放弃消费无人机市场吗?
DJI's Osmo Action 6 launches Nov 18 with two bundles: Standard at £329/€379 and Adventure at £419/€479 in Europe. US prices may rise $30, starting around $379. Pricing matches or slightly exceeds last gen ahead of release. (1/2)
《 第二次世界大战的盛大余兴派对已经落幕》:先辈们为我们赢得了八十年的和平岁月、制度效能与道德共识。但世间从无永恒之事。 noahpinion.blog/p/the-great-…
这篇文章( derekthompson.org/p/artifici… )太棒了,我引用一下其他内容(翻译):(铁路和人工智能的)一个不同点:横贯大陆铁路项目从一开始就是政府出资。它是作为战时战略启动的,目的是将加利福尼亚留在联邦内,并得到了政府贷款和土地赠款的支持。相比之下,人工智能建设则绝大部分由私营领域最富有的公司资助。(铁路和人工智能的)一个相似之处:横贯大陆铁路在 19 世纪下半叶对美国经济具有 "核心" 地位 —— 事实上是如此核心,以至于每当铁路行业打个喷嚏,整个经济都会感冒。到 2025 年,人工智能同样正在吞噬整个经济 —— 从股市(自 2022 年 11 月 ChatGPT 推出以来,AI 相关股票已占标普 500 指数回报的 75%)到建筑业。摩根大通数据显示,数据中心 "正在超越写字楼建设支出",并推高全美电价。
今天看到的,有关人类时间感变迁的一段话:“铁路永远改变了我们的思维和工作方式。在《时间旅行简史》中,作者詹姆斯・格莱克提出,铁路如此深刻地扭曲了我们对时空的感知,以至于人类发明了 ‘时间旅行’的概念,作为对距离压缩和时区发明的反应。” 人类的感觉随着现实世界(在当代表现为生产力水平)的变迁而变迁,事情就是这么简单。derekthompson.org/p/artifici…
阿尔都塞最天才的总结。只有海德格尔才谈论过类似的问题:时间作为一种类感觉,以何种方式,存在于人类社会。这里阿尔都塞谈论的是时间在传统戏剧中的存在方式:“在传统的戏剧中,一切都似乎是简单的:“主角”的时间性是唯一的时间性,其余一切都从属于主角,即使主角的对手也以主角为转移(为了能够同主角相匹敌,他们不能不如此);主角对手活动的时间和节律是主角的时间和节律,对手受主角的制约,并且仅仅是主角的附庸”。
托蒙德·不服周 retweeted
企业招不到AI工程师 失业人员又找不到工作 人类的喜悲,不尽相同。
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托蒙德·不服周 retweeted
找得到的,在大事记里
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这是劳动实践基地。
Going to #kindergarten is even busier than #parents going to work, mastering cooking, working out, and exercising, every single one. #children
托蒙德·不服周 retweeted
经历过房地产时代土地财政时代的地方利益集团(中性词)当然希望永远停留在那个时代 纸醉金迷
蓝佛安:将不新增隐性债务作为“铁的纪律” 地方官会越来越没油水 统一大市场和他们没关系
这种简易粮库的存储条件有限,如此堆高的粮食内部容易发热、变质,发热区域一般位于几个最高点之间,所以正经取样就是要爬上去才行。搞粮食贸易的很多手上都有几百万现金,但是大部分人都是大老粗,穿得这样精细的女子的确少见。
你取样爬那么高干嘛,那洛阳铲也插不到底啊。问题是你这么一踩还能吃么?去年张嫂家穿开裆裤的胖小子爬粮堆玩儿,摔了个屁墩儿,结果全村都得了痔疮
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