Portfolio Update: Consentration is underway as I double down on my highest certainty returners over the next 3-5 years.
Here's what our model (which will be wrong, but directionally correct) shows my top 4 positions will return within 5 years based on current valuation multiples and expected free cash flow growth:
1. $LMND - 3.1x (high certainty)
2. $PATH - 3x-10x (thesis in validation)
3. $FOUR - 5.5x (high certainty)
4. $ODD - 4.8x (high certainty)
Here are our models' expected 5-year returns on stocks that didn't make the cut:
1. $MARA - 7x (low certainty with downside potential reliant on $BTC price)
2. $HNST - 4.1x (low certainty, potential value trap)
3. $FVRR - 4x (medium certainty, but shrinking marketplace & AI risk)
4. $HIMS - 3.2x (high certainty)
5. $ROOT - 1.8x-3x (medium certainty, huge competitive risk from $LMND, and large risk from robotaxis as a car only insurance company with no Tesla partnership).
As always, I hope you guys appreciate the transparency, even if you do not agree with my moves or our models.
This company will grow 20%+ and takes gobs of market share from $ELF beauty long-term @HolySmokas
I now own 0.1% of Oddity $ODD
Israeli entrepreneurs are some of the best in the world 🙏🚀
(Hopefully, this will make anyone who is antisemitic unfollow me so that you will not benefit in my stock picks) 😉
If you claim to want to beat the market,
Yet your unwilling to read One Up on Wallstreet by Peter Lynch, one of the greatest investors in history who out returned even Warren Buffett, you're lying to yourself.
GET SERIOUS ABOUT YOUR FUTURE!
Full Audiobook Link on YouTube 👇
Read One Up on Wallstreet by Peter Lynch.
Or listen. He taught me how to find undervalued companies.
I've only made slight adjustments to his strategy (like only owning my very best 2-5 companies at any one time).
piped.video/Ue7iMBfwkr8?si=ot7j…
BREAKING: Government shutdown is coming to an END as key Democrats signal willingness to vote yes on new reopening deal!
Get ready for the market to moon 🚀
