Jeff Bezos literally revealed the math behind every billionaire’s mindset:

Oct 22, 2025 · 8:35 AM UTC

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Replying to @jaynitx
great insight
Replying to @jaynitx
thanks for sharing
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this is amazing
Replying to @jaynitx
great tips
Replying to @jaynitx
this is fantastic
Replying to @jaynitx
Bezos is describing exactly what I call the brutal math of the market. In a power-law world, nine out of ten bets fail, but the tenth pays for everything. That’s not luck. That’s the structure of reality. Most investors spend their lives watering weeds and trimming flowers, terrified of being wrong. The billionaire mindset flips that equation: concentrate, endure failure, and let the outlier run. The math is asymmetric, but the psychology is brutal. You only win if you can stay in the game long enough for the 1-in-10 to compound.
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Replying to @jaynitx
In other words, there’s positive asymmetry in the distribution of outcomes. In such cases, the risk of not taking enough risk is the danger, not failure.
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Replying to @jaynitx
Betting against the conventional wisdom is probably the greatest advice from anyone. If you do it multiple time, you are bound to be successful.