Is the (tight) victory of Rob Jetten in the Netherlands a signal that (1) a centrist program can still win against the far right, or (2) being charismatic and young can carry the day? (Probably a mix of the two, but still lessons to be drawn)

Nov 3, 2025 · 8:33 AM UTC

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Replying to @ojblanchard1
At the very least it shows that how voters distribute their votes across ideologically similar parties matters a lot for perceptions, even in a pure PR system
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Replying to @ojblanchard1
A 4-party coalition will be on the cards, which is a concern because such coalitions are unstable. Wilders, obviously, has no chance of governing, but still represents a significant part of the electorate. So, this is another concern: while Jetten's party leans left, voters generally voted to the right. Good luck Rob!
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Replying to @ojblanchard1
Not sure if any general lessons can be drawn here. Radical right did shrink a bit, probably because the center parties exclude most radical right parties from a government coalition. This was not the case for the main conservative party during the last election (2023)
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Replying to @ojblanchard1
Le langage d'extrême droite s'est normalisé. Le précédent gouvernement de droite était tellement chaotique et inefficace que beaucoup ont cherché une alternative. La représentation proportionnelle impose des gouvernements de coalition, ce qui atténue les positions extrémistes.
Replying to @ojblanchard1
only 17% of the votes, far right 30% of votes, and left 20%