What's happening in the Polymarket gaming market? LMAO Traders believe that there is a 20% chance that Jesus Christ will return before GTA 6 is released! As strange as it may sound, it's unthinkable! The chance of Jesus returning in 2025 is 0.7%. WHY IS IT 20% HERE? I have an answer to that. It's simple, you just need to read the rules for this bet. Here's the key phrase: "If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50." That is, if one event does not occur, the bet will be settled 50-50. What events are there? -> GPT-6 release -> New Playboi Carti Album -> Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire -> New Rihanna Album -> Trump out as President -> Bitcoin hits $1m -> Jesus Christ returns ->China invades Taiwan These traders believe that NOTHING on this list will happen before the release of GTA 6 or if the game is postponed. The game is scheduled for release on May 26, 2026. According to various sources on the internet, no transfers are planned at this time. I couldn't find any current information about the release of GPT-6. New Playboi Carti Album, I found information that there were rumors about BABY BOI. According to rumors, it was already ready, but it was never released. Perhaps this is fake information. Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire. I am not a geopolitician, but I doubt this will happen in the next six months. New Rihanna Album. There have been hints about an album. But there is no concrete information at all. Trump out as President. I consider this impossible. Bitcoin hits $1m. Bitcoin is currently worth $100k and will not grow to $1m in six months. China invades Taiwan. I also consider this impossible, given the good relations between the US and China. Are the traders right? And none of this list will happen before the release of GTA 6 (May 26). Or it's an easy 20% but it takes a long time. I only trade on @Polymarket