Looking at the floors... Porsche: 11 ETH Maserati: 16.5 ETH McLaren: 39 ETH Lamborghini: 45 ETH Ferrari: 47 ETH Fidenza: 100 ETH

This guy guessed the bitcoin top before, will he be right again?

Closed shorts on Thursday with a decent gain. As BTC held 98/100k past few days at pivot zone, I flipped longs in the past few days as Risk to Reward became favorable again, with crypto showing strength on Friday when US equities were still weak Added more longs today as Trump announced 2k cash distribution to lower-income group. This has 2020 cash distribution vibes with money printing led BTC to pump from 6k to 68k Shorts covering is already happening and pumping the market. Bears are forced to close shorts or get rekt This might mark the turning point of bull market resumption 🔥

I have a hunch where all the 2k stimmies are going to go, but 1) I’m not going to tell you 2) Just follow Gen Z

CURRENT ETF-FILED MEMECOINS

BITCOIN’S SILENT REVOLUTION: $50 BILLION VANISHED WITHOUT A TRACE Old guard Bitcoin whales just executed the largest wealth transfer in crypto history. 470,000 coins dumped since January. $50 billion in raw selling pressure. Zero crash. Price locked above $100,000. Every precedent shattered. 2013 collapsed 85% on whale exits. 2017 bled 84%. 2021 knifed 53%. Today? Institutional titans swallowed every coin like it never existed. BlackRock, MicroStrategy, and corporate treasuries absorbed the avalanche. ETFs vacuumed $64 billion year to date. November 7th alone reversed six straight days of $660 million outflows with $240 million flooding back in. MicroStrategy now hoards 641,000 coins. Corporate buyers snatched 131,000 coins in Q2 alone while ETFs grabbed 111,000 more. The physics changed overnight. When institutions control supply, 80% crashes compress to 30% corrections. Volatility cut 40% below every historical cycle. Miners generating $48.6 million daily post-halving yet holding reserves instead of panic selling. This is structural transformation, not speculation. Traditional cycle indicators still pulse but stretch across institutional time horizons. Pi Cycle sits dormant at $114,000 while its trigger threshold waits at $205,600. Three cycles, 100% top prediction accuracy. Today? Silent, not broken. MVRV Z-Score: 2.06, miles below the 5.0 euphoria threshold. Supply in profit: 71%. Realized Unrealized Loss: 3.1%, textbook mid-cycle consolidation. Puell Multiple: 0.95, screaming undervaluation. Every metric signaling accumulation disguised as distribution. JPMorgan models $170,000 targets. Bitcoin to gold ratio at 0.05 implies 70% upside to historical norms. Not hype, mathematical reversion. Three futures crystallize by mid-2026: Bull extension at 60% probability: ETF inflows exceed $50 billion annually, rate cuts below 4.5%, price surges $150,000 plus. Confirmation signal: weekly inflows sustaining above $1 billion. Consolidation at 25% probability: Selling pressure equals institutional buying, range-bound $90,000 to $110,000. Trigger: dollar index spiking above 110. Bear reversal at 10% probability: Whale volume exceeds 500,000 coins annually, collapse below $80,000. Trigger: recession coupling with $2 billion weekly ETF outflows. Hyperaccumulation at 5% probability: Sovereign treasury adoption, price exceeds $200,000. Trigger: formal reserve laws passing Congress. Critical tripwires: sustained whale selling above 500,000 coins yearly pressures sub-$100,000 levels. ETF outflows exceeding $1 billion weekly shifts sentiment bearish. Watch corporate treasury filings for acceleration signals. This is not weakness. This is generational handoff from speculative holders to balance sheet buyers with infinite time horizons. Retail sold fear. Institutions bought structure. Markets don’t crash when absorption exceeds distribution. They consolidate then explode. Position accordingly.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ Stay Blessed!

Millions of $ETH has been taken off exchanges since August. What comes next is obvious!

Is it over? Here is my totally balanced and honest take on Bitcoin and the wider market, including my invalidations for the bull market. Right now Bitcoin is HTF bullish. That's not an opinion, it's a fact. All key levels holding, bull trend still intact. But we are getting close to reaching HTF invalidation levels that have implications to be aware of. And this is the nature of the Crypto market... it will push all the way as close to invalidation as it can, only to reverse at the last moment and run it back up. Until it doesn't... It is one of the main reasons why this game is so hard. So here is what I am expecting. As charted up a few days ago, I'm expecting $95k - $99k to be the bottom. Insanely stacked bids down to $95k currently. I'm actually not expecting the 1W 50SMA to hold this week. I think it has become a crowded trade and too many are watching it. We will likely close below. If/When we do, I would expect a panic puke to $95k Monday and Tuesday to fill all the bids there, with a reversal before the end of the month to close each HTF level back where it should be. The main reasons I am not placing my invalidation of the 1W 50SMA are: - It is only one metric and that should never be your strategy - It has become too well used by everyone(mass consensus is always wrong) - The overall trend is king - The 1M timeframe is more important I have noted that we also have a 1M MACD bearish cross that is close to confirming. Each time this has happened in previous cycles, it has confirmed the start of the bear market. However, one thing we have to also take into consideration is that during the previous cycle, this happened once BTC had lost HTF bull trend structure. This time, we are still holding the 1M bull trend, and if the MACD does tick over whilst we close November above, this will not hold the same weight as previous cycles. It could and likely will tick over slightly and then reverse. Just because it has never happened, does not mean it cannot happen. This is because MACD is a lagging indicator, and market trend should always be prioritised over a lagging indicator. The trend is everything. But... If we do close the 1M below the bull trend and the MACD ticks over bearish, then at best we are in for an extended correction. So, overall, we are still HTF bullish. If we close November within the bull trend, regardless of the MACD cross, we are still strongly bullish. If we close November below the bull trend, MACD will definitely tick bearish and we will no longer be bullish, at least within the next few months. Closing note: Everything about this cycle has been different. Time wise, ath before the halving, institutions and governments, being in a tightest liquidity constrictive cycle in decades. Therefore analysing where we are and where we might go requires an open mind. We cannot simply use previous outcomes and expect definite future precedent. The trend is the most important thing here, so that is what we will pay attention to the most. For this entire cycle we have had liquidity headwinds, with the FED removing $2tn from their balance sheet and holding rates above 5% for years. We are about to enter a period of liquidity tailwinds, and BTC is the most liquidity sensitive asset in the world. My money, as you know, is on a fair amount higher over the coming months. We will have a very good idea by the monthly close. All the best friends.

The biggest and smartest BTC whales continue to load up on longs. A pattern that has repeated throughout the entire run. And now the RSI is reaching overbought levels. The reversal is loading soon here, but you would not believe it. Bears are extremely arrogant and cocky right now. Remember, it is very easy to be bearish after the price has been going down for ages, and it is very easy to be bullish when the price has been going up for ages. I am personally really looking forward to the cope when we move higher and most of the arrogant bears go into hibernation because they aren't man enough to eat their words. Soon.

October’s sell-off wasn’t the end of the cycle—it may have been the reset it needed. Excess leverage is flushed, fundamentals remain intact, and institutional players are quietly rotating back in. Smart money is clustering around EVM chains, RWAs, and yield protocols—pointing to selective re-risking, not retreat. Key takeaways: • Leverage is cleaner, but liquidity gaps remain. •Capital is rotating, not entering—selectivity remains critical. • Macro risk lingers, but structural demand builds. We think this is the base-building phase before the next leg up, not a cycle top. Get more on these and other key insights in this Monthly Outlook report: coinbase.com/institutional/r…

Whales running the same playbook again 🤡 $BTC

It's absolutely wild. We have everyone screaming bear market and how over it is... And how you should be looking to exit all your positions on the next dead cat bounce before 4 years of death. When TOTAL3/ETH is in the EXACT same position it was in right before the 2021 period of Altcoin outperformance. The divergence between the data and the sentiment has never been wider, especially for altcoins. The 1W RSI was only ever as oversold as it just was back in 2021. Alts are picking up strength against ETH and BTC, not losing it. This data I am sharing today does not signify the end of the Crypto liquidity cycle my friends.

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Zero or hero. The choice is yours 🫵😹

I know no one wants to hear bullish ideas and everyone is scared and wants to fling poo at each other... but the Road to Valhalla is getting very close. If global liquidity is the single most dominant macro factor then we MUST focus on that. REMEMBER - THE ONLY GAME IN TOWN IS ROLLING $10TRN IN DEBT. EVERYTHING ELSE IS A SIDESHOW. THIS IS THE GAME OF THE NEXT 12 MONTHS. Currently the gov shutdown has forced a sharp tightening of liquidity as the TGA builds up with no where to spend it. This is not offset by the ability to drain the Reverse Repo (it is drained). And QT drains it further. This is hitting markets and in particular crypto which is the most liquidity driven. TradiFi asset managers have had one of their worst years of performance vs benchmark and are now having to chase markets and that is allowing tech to be more stable than crypto. 401K flows help too. If this liquidity drain keeps going longer, stocks will get hit hard too. However... As soon as the gov shutdown ends, the Treasury begins spending $250bn to $350bn in a couple of months. QT ends and the balance sheet technically expands. The Dollar will likely begin to weaken again as liquidity begins to flow. Tariff negiotiations will have largely been completed, removing uncertainty Ongoing bill issuance increases, adding more liquidity via bank balance sheets and money market funds (and stable coins). Ongoing rate cuts (we will have economic weakness from the shutdown that will add to the evidence that rates need to come lower but no, there is no recession).. SLR changes free up more of the banks balance sheets allowing for credit expansion. The CLARITY ACT will get passed, giving the crypto regs so deserately needed for large scale adoption by banks, asset managers and businesses overall. The Big Beautiful Bill then kicks in to goose the economy into the midterms. The entire system is now being geared toward a strong economy and strong market in 2026 for these elections. China will continue to expand its balance sheet. Japan will work to strenghten the Yen, and also fiscally stimulate. The ISM will rise as rates fall and tarrif uncertainty drops away. You just need to get through the Window of Pain and The Liquidity Flood lies ahead. Always remember the Dont Fuck This Up rules...and wait out the volatility. Drawdowns like this are common place in bull markets and their job is to test your faith. BTFD if you can. td:dr - When this number goes up, all number go up.

The top is not in. The market is not over. Anyone who is parroting this does not understand the macro and global liquidity situation. We have been in a deep liquidity constricting environment for years, and Crypto has not pushed overall because it is a vehicle of that liquidty we have not had. BTC has pushed on institutional adoption and global acceptance. Stocks are only pushing because of AI. GOLD has been pushing because of financial and trade uncertainty. There has not been an overall bull market. It is only BTC and a select few others, and the exact same in the stock market. Most stocks, like most crypto, are under-performing... And that is because of how the macro has been for years. BUT that is literally about to change, and we are leaving the liquidity constricting phase and re-entering expansion. Let me explain guys. - TGA is at $1tn(the highest in 4 years). As soon as the US Gov reopens a lot of this will be emptied into the reserves, increasing liquidity and lending, pushing M2 about $1tn, adding large fuel for risk assets. If we were entering a bear market this would be bottoming out, not peaking. - ON RRP is at near zero The Overnight Reverse Repo is at near zero which shows us that all money is parked in private markets. If we were entering a bear market and a liquidity constricting environment this would be accelerating aggressively, just like it did in 2021/22, as Money market funds stop fucking with treasuries and seek safe haven from liquidity constriction. - QT is ending The FED has been reducing their balance sheet for 4 years, from $9tn to $6.5tn, reducing liquidity and stifling lending, which fucks growth entirely. December 1st this stops and liquidity begins to enter expansion again. $25bn/mo stops falling off the balace sheet/reserves. If we were entering a bear marker this would not be happening. - Interest rates are coming down Interest rates coming down makes lending cheaper, promotes business and growth and increases liquidity in risk markets. If we were entering a bear market, rates would not be coming down alongside all these other factors. - China and Japan stimulating China have been stimulating all year, and Japan have announced a further $93bn fiscal package and are keeping interest rates at 0.50%. This Yen stimulus enables the Yen carry trade to continue which creates a risk on environment, funelling capital straight into riskier assets. You CANNOT compare this current market to 2021 in any way shape or form it is worlds apart. You cannot compare it to 2019 either... the financial landscape was in crisis then and the FED stopped QT because liquidity was getting so low SOFR rates were hitting 10% and the system was cracking. Right now the financial situation is controlled and easing, and the liquidity is about to flow in a big way. We literally have a super cocktail of liquidity on the very near horizon, better than anything we have had in years. The markets are not going to enter a bear market just as they are about to receive huge liquidity injections. It's impossible. And this is all happening whilst BTC is about to hit its 1W 50SMA and everyone is capitulating. Coincidence? No. Understand where we are, understand the macro, and understand how this game works. You are being shaken out on the eve of liquidity xmas and no one is looking at it properly. The ONLY thing that matters for Crypto is liquidity, and we have been in a liquidity starved environment for years. This is why Alts have suffered so greatly... they are the highest risk asset in the world, and need positive liquidity to run. This cycle has played out longer because this process has ben delayed and the FED have held rates too high for too long... But it has to change, and it is about to change. Don't fuck it up here.

THEY’RE SHAKING OUT RETAIL: BINANCE PUSHES $ETH DOWN. WINTERMUTE ABSORBS THE LIQUIDITY OFF-EXCHANGE. THIS ISN’T SELLING. THIS IS ENGINEERED LIQUIDITY. THE GOAL IS SIMPLE: MAKE RETAIL SELL THE BOTTOM. BRUTAL. EFFICIENT. INTENTIONAL.

NASDAQ MOGGING 🫵😹 nasdaq.com/marketsite/bell-r…

Moggers MOG 🫵😹

If your circle cannot post your ideas better than you you built a fan club not a movement.

🚨HUGE BREAKING: "Energy Gravity", @BlockwareTeam's propriety model, which calculates the average 'Breakeven Bitcoin Price' for miners across the industry, is signaling that Bitcoin is about to pump. This metric has accurately marked 7 local bottoms in a row. 📈 The idea here is simple: Bitcoin and other commodities do not trade below the average cost of production If they do it is for very brief moments in time, offering extremely valuable opportunities to deploy capital: Dec 2018, March 2020, November 2022). Furthermore, this has major implications for Blockware's 'Mining as a Service' Clients. Our clients have a Bitcoin Breakeven Price ranging from ~$55,000 to $75,000 (depending on miner model and electricity rate) Let’s imagine a worst-case scenario where BTC drops below the average cost of production (~$100,000 right now). By positioning your mining fleet with a breakeven price below the industry average, you have protection in the event of an unforeseen BTC price drop. As miners with higher breakeven prices become unprofitable they will unplug their miners, lowering network mining difficulty, and further decreasing the breakeven price for surviving miners: - BTC price drops - Less efficient miners (older machines, higher power costs) become unprofitable - Said miners unplug their machines - Blockware client becomes more profitable as mining difficulty decreases