NYC Mayor Race: Zohran Mamdani vs Andrew Cuomo Based on our Commonsense AI framework, Mamdani has 65-70% probability of winning the race with a margin of 10-15 points. While Cuomo has picked up momentum in the last leg of the race, the early advantage of narrative control, and unified popular endorsements for Mamdani are going to be hard to catch up, this late stage in the campaign.

Virginia Governor Race: Winsome Earle-Sears (R) vs Abigail Spanberger (D) As of Oct 29 2025, our model now places Spanberger into a slightly better position with 55% probability of winning with a margin of 5-8 points. However, with 6 days left, the race could still swing in either direction, or margin of victory could narrow.

Viriginia House Delegate Race: Junaid Khan (R) vs Atoosa Reaser (D) Key Agenda and Public Alignment Atoosa Reaser (D) - Public Alignment: 45% 1. Transgender Rights & Inclusion in Loudoun County Public Schools 2. Education policies 3. Gun Violence Junaid Khan (R) - Public Alignment: 70% 1. Focus on local business for Community and Cultural development 2. Advocacy for Working Families, Small Businesses & Parents 3. Jobs, Car Tax Cuts, & Veterans Support

Virginia Governor Race : Winsome Earle-Sears (R) vs Abigail Spanberger (D) Our Commonsense AI model is predicting a very close race that could flip in either direction. While Abigail Spanberger had an initial lead, it is shrinking fast as Winsome Earle-Sears picks up late stage momentum. Winning Probabilities Winsome Earle-Sears (50%) Abigail Spanberger (50%) We are witnessing the same trend in the VA District 27 House Delegate race that we are tracking where Junaid Khan is narrowing the lead against Atoosa Reaser with both sides have similar odds of winning.

Ph Public Pulse: Should Rodrigo Duterte return to the Philippines? We ran our Commonsense AI model on the query over 83,727 data points across all major platforms. Here are the results: 1. 30% believe Duterte should remain at ICC and face trial. 2. 25% believe he should return to the Phillipines to face trial: since the crimes were committed in Philippines, so should be the justice. 3. 45% believe he should be back because he is innocent. In total, 70% public sentiment is in favour of his return.

Virginia House Delegate District 27 Race: Junaid Khan (R) vs Atoosa Reaser (D) First time in 3 months our AI model is now indicating Junaid Khan (R) having +5 points Public Alignment Score against Atoosa Reaser. This can be attributed primarily to grassroots campaign and community mobilization with Junaid Khan getting critical endorsements from South Asian and Hispanic communities. The race is highly competitive and both candidates have near equal chances of winning.

We couldn’t agree more. As an AI startup we have been in the predictions game for nearly 2 years now and have successfully predicted several geopolitical events and elections including the recent US Presidential elections through our proprietary ‘Commonsense AI’ framework. We believe that predictions is the highest form of intelligence, and ability to crack that will help humans open up new dimensions of understanding.

Philippines National Pulse: BBM vs Sara Duterte There seems to be a race to the bottom, with both Marcos and Duterte slipping in public perception—Marcos more steeply than Duterte. BBM Approval: 35% Disapproval: 65% Sara Duterte Approval: 55% Disapproval: 65% Methodology: Our Commonsense AI framework analysed 123,000 posts between 15 September - 01 October 2025 to generate public sentiment. We tracked real time public pulse to generate both, time-series and spot analysis on both leaders. Conclusion: Philippines is facing a serious leadership and trust crisis with lowest ever public trust in leadership recorded by our AI in past 2 years.

You can access the platform here: dashboard.3rd-eye.ai/virgini…

We will be covering the upcoming Virginia House Delegate District-27 race between: Junaid Khan (R) @Junaid4VA Atoosa Reaser (D) @AtoosaReaser You can use our platform to monitor real-time updates on the 2 candidates, their public perception, probability of winning, and their alignment to District Public Sentiment.

Pakistan Democracy Track: We built an AI model to monitor, track, assess and report the state of democracy in Pakistan in real-time across key metrics: public trust, rule of law, freedoms, human rights, and credibility of state institutions. With the ongoing protests for former Prime Minister Imran Khan's freedom and against the current military rule in Pakistan, we are publishing the data on public trust and credibility of leadership, and national sentiment as of Aug 05 2025. Public Trust Imran Khan: 70-75% Gen Asim Munir: 20-40% National Sentiment on the Military Regime : -Positive: 20% -Negative: 60% -Neutral: 20% Dominant Emotional Tones: - Anger: Predominantly directed at the government and military for perceived injustices and economic mismanagement. - Hope: Expressed by PTI supporters who believe in Imran Khan's leadership and potential return. - Fear: Concerns about political repression and economic instability are prevalent.

Analytics on Epstein Files: Do People Even Care? We ran our Commonsense AI model to measure just how much the American people really care about the Epstein issue. Based on 7205 data points from last 1 week alone, we estimate that over 70-80% of the digital traffic deeply cares about the Epstein issue, and is only growing exponentially. We also measured public satisfaction of President Trump's handling of the Epstein files: Unhappy: 60-70% Happy: 10-20%

Trump Tracker - July 9 2025 Our AI model measures real-time Alignment of President Trump with Public Commonsense: Overall Alignment Score: 30% This is the lowest score we have so far measured in last 3 months which is largely driven by: 1. Epstein Files controversy 2. Foreign Policy Handling 3. Texas Floods Response 4. Trade and Tariffs

Pakistan Democracy & Human Rights Tracker - July 2 2025 1. Imran Khan and his wife facing inhumane treatment in prison 2. Enforced disappearances on rise in KP province 3. State's ban on Pashtun Tahafuz Movement (PTM) 4. Updates on sectarian violence in Kurram 5. Imran Khan's solitary confinement and worsening health condition. For full details: dashboard.3rd-eye.ai/democra…

NYC Mayor Elections: 3rd Eye vs Polls We have yet again defeated every major polling agency, this time in predicting the NYC Mayor elections right. Starting June 20th our Commonsense AI model was predicting 70% chances of @ZohranKMamdani winning while most other polls putting Cuomo at lead. This is validation that AI done right is a far better indicator and predictor of events and outcomes.

NYC Mayor Race: Mamdani vs Cuomo Our Commonsense AI model based on the public data over social media, predicts Mamdani on a solid winning trajectory over Cuomo in the last few days of the elections. However, the race is far from over.

The Likelihood of Israel's Military Strikes on Iran We ran our Commonsense AI model on the last 24 hours of data (2825 data points) to make an assessment on Israel-Iran conflict. Public Sentiment on Israel's Strikes: Approval : 35% Disapproval: 65% Possible Scenarios: Scenario 1: Israel Conducts Limited Strikes (40%): Timing and Volatility makes this plausible Scenario 2: Diplomatic Resolution (30%): Diplomatic breakthrough that diffuse tensions. Scenario 3: Full Scale Conflict (20%): Broader military conflict breaks out after Israeli strikes. Scenario 4: Status Quo Maintain (10%): Tensions remain high, but no sides act. All the data and signals indicate that there is a high likelihood of an Israeli strike on Iran.