An interesting speech from a leading REFORMer, implicitly calling into question Farage’s recent statist turn.
Gawain identifies the New Right split between “conservative authoritarianism” and “Whiggish libertarianism”, but actually the REFORM contradictions are far sharper.
The manifesto will be fascinating to see (when it eventually comes), because it has to reconcile:
👉small-state/low-tax/low-spending promises with improved service delivery
👉welfare reduction promises with the party’s triple lock pension & welfare-dependent constituencies
👉free market/low regulation promises with nods toward “industrial policy/industrial strategy” + nationalisation
👉sound money/balanced budget/maintaining (Gilt-trading) investor confidence promises with radical BOE reforms
The MAJOR Q is: does a Farage-led REF gov. operate like a Meloni or like an Orban, i.e. does he govern as a traditional centre-rightist with a tougher line on migration/woke (see Italy today); or does he govern as an Hungarian/Polish-style populist combining high-welfare nationalism & big state interventionism with strong borders + authoritarian creep?
“Whiggish Libertarianism”, FWIW, isn’t even a serious option, being fundamentally unsuited to dealing with the problems of the age. Adopting a small-state + free/open market dogma is for the birds when Trump is upending globalisation, the Germans/EU have belatedly discovered strategic public investment, and the Chinese are creating the future with top-down dirigiste development at breakneck speed.
Last night I addressed the Oxford von Mises Society, on the subject of
"The Future of Libertarianism in Reform UK"
This was the speech I meant to follow - with digressions.
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