I penned this 'prediction' to be published in some magazine or another, shortly, but as nobody reads those anymore:
Prediction for 2026: The Real Impact of Vibe Coding Isn’t What You Think
2026 won’t be the year vibe coding takes over software development. It’ll be the year many “vibe coders” realize that while these tools are incredible for getting from zero to one (building internal tools, prototypes, or early-stage apps) they start to crumble when the work gets serious.
Shipping a mobile app isn’t just about getting something running. You need to compile builds, submit to app stores, fix bugs without breaking your entire app, and add features without introducing chaos. Those are all things vibe coding isn’t great at, or at least, not yet.
What we will see is a massive increase in the amount of software being built. A skilled software engineer with a vibe-coding assistant will be 10x as productive, and that multiplier will spark a wave of creativity. Developers won’t have to chase the biggest total addressable market anymore: They can afford to build niche, high-quality products for specific audiences.
Before, “a yoga app for women in menopause” might’ve felt too small to be worth building. Now, with the cost of development dropping, that same app suddenly makes sense. The app stores won’t be flooded with the type of “slop” that’s flooding social networks: They’ll be filled with more personal, purpose-built apps solving problems that used to be too niche to tackle.
People will use more apps, pay more for apps, and the app economy will have its best year ever.