📉 Scottish independence: the economic cliff edge behind the romantic leap. Imagine Scotland as a teenager storming out of a shared home, independent, yes, but suddenly footing the bills alone. The risks aren’t just emotional, they’re economic, structural, and deeply destabilising: 🔻 1. Currency Chaos Leaving the pound means launching a new, untested currency. That’s not just symbolic, it’s seismic. Without a central bank or credible monetary history, Scotland would face: • Capital flight and investor panic • Price volatility and inflation spikes • Higher borrowing costs and weaker consumer confidence Economic modelling warns of a “wild rollercoaster” effect on prices and savings 🚧 2. Trade Barriers with England 60% of Scottish exports go to the rest of the UK. Independence risks turning that seamless flow into a customs checkpoint: • Tariffs, delays, and regulatory divergence • Job losses across manufacturing, agriculture, and retail • A projected 10% drop in economic output, over 250,000 jobs lost Scottish Bus... This isn’t theoretical, it’s the cost of building a border where none exists. 💸 3. Debt Without the Oil Scotland would inherit a share of the UK’s national debt, without full access to North Sea oil revenues. That fiscal gap means: • Cuts to public services like schools and hospitals • Higher taxes or deeper borrowing • Reduced resilience in future economic shocks Even optimistic projections show a long-term deficit 🧭 Why Most Scots Still Choose the UK Despite political noise, economic stability remains the anchor. While some polls show fluctuating support for independence, others reveal a consistent majority wary of the risks: • Only 21% support independence if it costs £500/year per person. • Recent polls show a 10-point lead for separation once undecided are removed and UK strongholds are removed (North of Aberdeen and the Borders - postcode lottery database)

Imagine Scotland as a grown man afraid to leave home and grow up.

Or simply that the economic case is impossible to make.

The thread is using an analogy of Scotland as a teenager leaving home. I have just flipped that around a little. I dishy say there was no economic plan.... I was talking about fear of leaving. Fear is rarely a good reason for not doing something.

So the UK is my home I have no plans of leaving and you're claiming that is fear? If there is an economic plan, why don't you share it?

I am not the finance minister.

SNP finance ministers have had 18 years to produce economic modeling I think it's fair to say they don't exist

There was a full white paper produced by the Scottish government before the indeoendence referendum outlining all of the plans.

No there wasn’t. Couldn’t afford pension and currency is a cluster fuck that will ruin us

Does this explain the impact

No but it shows that you have not done your home work as you said there was no white paper. You just don't want to know or find out.

I have certainly done my home work. The white paper is a wish list. Nothing about the deficit Nothing about how we will support pensioners Nothing about the impact of currency Nothing about capital flight

OK, as I say you are entities to think the way you do..... I have no idea how Ireland are OK since independence, or the USA or all of the other independent nations.... How on earth have they managed it... I mean its just not possible 😂

Only One nation has left the Uk

It is quite normal to be independent.

The UK is a normal independent country

There is no point in this discussion, you are clearly hell bent on keeping the broken union and I am equally keen to gain independence. But answer me one question please. If Scotland is such a financial drain, why are they so hell bent on keeping us in the union?

The UK isn't a union and it's already independent Countries don't self divide over finances

Of course it is a Union. And who said we are dividing over finances.... Only you.

The UK is a unitary state, to can't have a union of one You did

Troll

@grok explain to poor Ian here the UK is a single sovereign state. The outcome of a legal act