In a revealing clip from today's debate, Guillaume Verdon (@BasedBeffJezos) gets asked by Connor Leahy (@NPCollapse) whether the United States should make the F-16's blueprints open source. Guillaume's position appears to be: Access to arbitrarily destructive weapons shouldn't be restricted by a central government, as long as we have a central government that has exclusive access to more destructive weapons. If I'm understanding Guillaume correctly, he's endorsing a policy of allowing any local militia to purchase a 15-kiloton atom bomb like the one that wiped out Hiroshima because, after all, the U.S. government has since built an arsenal of thermonuclear bombs that are each as destructive as 1,000 Hiroshimas. …Which means the e/acc position doesn't pass a basic sanity check. NOTE: Connor knows that any discussion around “who should get to control the superintelligent AGI” is likely moot; we'll probably die at the hands of a rogue uncontrollable AI. But when evaluating non-doomers' arguments, it's useful to first test whether they even understand what policy we need to stay alive in a world where AGI isn't uncontrollable, but is merely a very powerful weapon that humans can aim (and works better as a weapon than a shield).

Feb 3, 2024 · 8:56 AM UTC

Above, I summarized a guess at a position that Beff seems to be putting forward. People accused me of being unfair, but in my defense, I haven't seen a significantly better and clearer position from him. Have you? Here's my latest guess of his position:
I've been struggling to understand what @BasedBeffJezos's position is on the question of whether it's good to open source arbitrarily dangerous technology. Here's what I got. Let me know if there's anything I can correct here Beff.
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What a person takes away from this clip is very telling about how they think and reason about the world. Connor is obsessed with driving the conversation into set-piece simplified thought experiments that ultimately abstract away the most important and relevant details to be considered. Of course in some platonic thought experiment there is an easy answer - no that doesn't map to our actual complicated a social reality. Beff's replies here show he is grounded in the realities of the world and understands things aren't reducible to toy models. The social world doesn't map to reductionist thought experiments, despite being the temptation of every person trained in physics (him and I included). This is a clear and consistent difference between people who have substantively engaged in the world of building things that are long term and difficult demanding projects. It teaches you that the devil is in the details, and not some hypothesized foil in a strawman argument. I think this failure in having an adequate social world model also shines through in Connors interpersonal interactions and his affect, which is entirely dismissive, rude, disingenuous and wholly wrapped up in setting up "gotcha" moments instead of genuine engagement. Truthfully all these clips tell me Connor is an embarrassing representative of the more legitimate discussions to be had and lacks some fundamental emotional maturity and reasons faultily about the world because of it.
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Here's my attempt to diagram what Beff is saying about the straightforward question relevant to this debate: > When should we allow widespread access to arbitrarily dangerous technologies? Care to engage object-level? Because this seems obviously bad.
I've been struggling to understand what @BasedBeffJezos's position is on the question of whether it's good to open source arbitrarily dangerous technology. Here's what I got. Let me know if there's anything I can correct here Beff.
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You forgot to include the part where he does answer the questions with a no, the US gov shouldn’t make them open source.
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Ok but what principle is he using to say no? That’s what I’m trying to understand. I don’t get how “no” is consistent with the other stuff he says.
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"just boil this complex scenario down to a yes or no answer!"
It’s actually standard procedure for the logic of analyzing complex issues to be factored down into hypotheticals and analogies.
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Replying to @liron @NPCollapse
Based Private citizens should be allowed to own nuclear ordinance Especially since the government doesn't make them, private companies do, so it's already basically the case Also this thing used to be the most powerful weapon ever and private individuals owned it all the time
> Private citizens should be allowed to own nuclear ordinance Wat
After watching the clip, this feels like a dishonest post
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What a silly question and a deceptive reframing of his response. He said he didn’t know and the Russians and Chinese probably have their hands on it.
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You think you saw him dodge the question by saying he doesn’t know and then use a minor detail to refuse to engage with a strong version of it?
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Might want to try steelman rather than strawman. Unfollowed
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In the above tweet, my goal was to point out that Beff doesn't seem to understand his own claims, so steel manning wasn't my priority for that reason. I am happy to also do a steel manning exercise if you think it's productive. Here goes: We should strive to open source all technology as much as possible, but first, on a case by case basis, make a judgment about how bad the consequences would be if we did so. How's that? The problem I'm seeing is that any good steel-manning seems to just be closer to Connor's stated position than Beff's. Can you give it a try yourself?
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It's just information bro, knowing how to build it and actually building it and then using it maliciously are not the same.
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Ok, please let me know how to fix this flowchart to faithfully represent the e/acc position.
I've been struggling to understand what @BasedBeffJezos's position is on the question of whether it's good to open source arbitrarily dangerous technology. Here's what I got. Let me know if there's anything I can correct here Beff.
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