In a revealing clip from today's debate, Guillaume Verdon (@BasedBeffJezos) gets asked by Connor Leahy (@NPCollapse) whether the United States should make the F-16's blueprints open source. Guillaume's position appears to be: Access to arbitrarily destructive weapons shouldn't be restricted by a central government, as long as we have a central government that has exclusive access to more destructive weapons. If I'm understanding Guillaume correctly, he's endorsing a policy of allowing any local militia to purchase a 15-kiloton atom bomb like the one that wiped out Hiroshima because, after all, the U.S. government has since built an arsenal of thermonuclear bombs that are each as destructive as 1,000 Hiroshimas. …Which means the e/acc position doesn't pass a basic sanity check. NOTE: Connor knows that any discussion around “who should get to control the superintelligent AGI” is likely moot; we'll probably die at the hands of a rogue uncontrollable AI. But when evaluating non-doomers' arguments, it's useful to first test whether they even understand what policy we need to stay alive in a world where AGI isn't uncontrollable, but is merely a very powerful weapon that humans can aim (and works better as a weapon than a shield).
After watching the clip, this feels like a dishonest post
1
58
How so?

Feb 3, 2024 · 9:36 AM UTC

1
5
Okay, maybe "dishonest" was too strong a word. Incorrect though. - Guillaume's ultimate answer to the open-sourcing F-16 blueprints question was "maybe not, no." Someone reading your post without seeing the vid would think his answer rounded down to "yes." - I doubt he'd endorse the statement "Access to arbitrarily destructive weapons shouldn't be restricted..." without serious caveats. And I believe you know he would not agree with that absolute phrasing. - Similarly, claiming "he's endorsing allowing local militias to purchase 15-kiloton atom bombs" mischaracterizes his views - he would dispute that phrasing/interpretation. - On the F-16 issue, he seems to suggest open-sourcing plane specs should hinge on how it impacts defense versus offense balance. Thinking carefully about this offense-defense balance is something you encourage too. So, it seems like there'd be agreement between you two there. But he'd dispute that intelligence/AI is similar to "15-kiloton bombs" in how they affect this defense/offense balance. My own mini take on open-sourcing F-16 blueprints is that it would not meaningfully impact global affairs - the barrier to countries wreaking havoc with warplanes is not the lack of access to the relevant CAD drawings or material specs.
3
38
So basically he didn’t come prepared to think about questions as relevant to the topic at hand as “should weapon designs be open sourced if they’re not state of the art”, thus said the opposite (no) of his actual answer (yes)
2
4