The ongoing alt capitulation you are seeing could still be as a result of the 10/10 liquidation event. Traders & funds that weren't smoked on the day may have been slowly exiting positions since. This is especially true of those that were running delta-neutral strategies with long spot & opposing long perps. Given that the ADL systems closed out their perp shorts, they took big losses on their spots. The poor price action since then could have been selling their spot positions. We will reach seller exhaustion, but then we are going to need new buyers to step in to bid. Will they come?

Nov 4, 2025 · 1:51 PM UTC

Replying to @nicrypto
The real question is buyer appetite after exhaustion hits though.
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Replying to @nicrypto
Most volume in the market right now is not organic to begin with. What you see is mostly degens never learning and focusing on leverage trading…
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Replying to @nicrypto
Seller exhaustion might set the stage, but without fresh liquidity, the cycle could stall new buyers hold the key.
Replying to @nicrypto
Everyone is exiting the crypto industry seeing how the whole market can be easily manipulated by Binance.
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Replying to @nicrypto
Could be so over
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Replying to @nicrypto
What do you think?
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Replying to @nicrypto
No … if you were retail looking in at the crypto mess especially Alts and money is still tight in the real world. Would you risk it on crypto if it was your first time and especially at this time of year Xmas etc especially if you had a family etc No chance. The manipulation especially of Alts over the last 24 months has ruined the space ,can it recover maybe some Alts but a high percentage are dead
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Replying to @nicrypto
Why would they? Why would anyone voluntarily show up for their own execution
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Replying to @nicrypto
No bro, who the hell in their right mind would buy back altcoins after that? We saw 90% losses in seconds. Screw altcoins.
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Replying to @nicrypto
Build the meme, and they will mem.
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Replying to @nicrypto
I see more and more bulls turning their back on crypto and alts rn 👿
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Replying to @nicrypto
This is how markets transfer wealth: first they destroy over-leveraged bulls, then they scare away patient holders — and finally the strongest hands buy the bottom.
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Replying to @nicrypto
Utility run next!!
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Replying to @nicrypto
From where? Retail is not going to touch crypto for a time from now and market makers and tradfi will just try to trade every 5% move and manipulating the price up and does. It's only our sorry asses here
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Replying to @nicrypto
People dont buy alts, they perp it dont need new buyers for alts to move
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Replying to @nicrypto
I do wonder. Tradfi is already here and retail has left, is leaving and lot of it won’t be able come back in the medium term (« rekt »)
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Replying to @nicrypto
Government shutdown is not helping,
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Replying to @nicrypto
They will. There is always a fresh set of fools.
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Replying to @nicrypto
10/10 where e commerce gave discounts the crypto market gave it too. One is great the other sucks
Replying to @nicrypto
maybe after clarity bill passes which looks like Q1 now
Replying to @nicrypto
$ICP community is literally partying as we speak!
Replying to @nicrypto
It was always the play ..."the little man can never win" .. Newbies (2023-2025) dead Old skool (2019-2025) laughing 😃
Replying to @nicrypto
yes, stabled up, waiting for better entries
Replying to @nicrypto
Liquidation before capitulation!!!
Replying to @nicrypto
Nope. 10/10 was a turning point in crypto history. Finito!
Replying to @nicrypto
@grok 10/10 was a big warning flag that may have scared a huge part of liquidity out of crypto, that is why global M2 is going up but it is not rotating into crypto
Replying to @nicrypto
The institutional crypto panel at Token 2049 dropped some serious alpha btw Moderated by @CNBC's Elaine Yu with: → Richard Teng (Binance CEO) → Hunter Horsley (Bitwise CEO) → Tim McCourt (CME Group) → Heath Tarbert (Circle President) Here are the 7 key takeaways that matter ↓ 1/ INSTITUTIONAL ADOPTION IS EXPLODING @CMEGroup numbers tell the story: Open interest: $30-40B daily (up 100% YoY) Trading volume: $15B+ daily (up 200% YoY) But here's what's wild: Solana futures hit $1B open interest in 5 months (Ethereum took 8 months, Bitcoin took 3 YEARS) @solana went from $1B to $2B in open interest faster than any asset in CME history. 2/ 2025 IS THE MAINSTREAM ERA (BUT IT STARTED IN 2024) @HHorsley: "A bank managing over $1 trillion approved crypto for the first time in July 2025. We met with them 50 times over 3 years." What changed? • ETF approvals unlocked access • Regulatory clarity (finally) • BlackRock, Schwab, Fidelity all embraced crypto @_RichardTeng: "2024 was the inflection point. ETFs got approved. Narrative shifted." The dam broke. Now it's a flood. 3/ WHO'S BUYING? EVERYONE. @binance saw 2x institutional onboarding in 2024, continuing strong in 2025. First wave: Trading desks (cross-asset trading, hedging, positioning) Second wave: • Corporates allocating 5-10% of treasuries • Family offices • Foundations and trusts • Sovereign wealth funds Third wave coming: Countries launching strategic reserves (Kazakhstan already announced). 4/ STABLE COINS = THE RAILS FOR EVERYTHING Heath Tarbert: "Stablecoins aren't competitors to banks. They're pathways to other assets." Key insight: USDC doesn't innately pay interest, but it enables: • 24/7 global dollar access • Tokenized lending products • Onchain financial system The network effect: Institutions start with stable coins → discover they can buy other digital assets seamlessly → entire treasury management moves onchain "2025 is the birth of the new internet financial system." 5/ DATs ARE HERE TO STAY (AND THEY'RE VALUABLE) Over 200 companies globally have announced DAT strategies. Why they matter: For ecosystems: They become power users, advocates, and validators (via staking) For capital markets: They provide access where mandates restrict direct crypto exposure Example: Capital Group's Mark Casey can only invest in equities. His fund is MicroStrategy's largest shareholder to get Bitcoin exposure. Hunter: "DATs provide more apertures for investors to participate." 6/ REGULATORY CLARITY ≠ INNOVATION (BUT IT UNLOCKS CAPITAL) @_RichardTeng's critical distinction: "Innovation has always happened (ICOs, DeFi Summer, etc.) regardless of regulation." But regulatory clarity unlocks: • Institutional deployment • Product innovation for mainstream • Foreign direct investment competition US regulatory shift is forcing global competition. Every country now asking: "How do we match or surpass US to attract talent and capital?" 7/ THE INFRASTRUCTURE IS MATURING FAST CME launching: Options on Solana, XRP futures expanding Binance launched: "Crypto as a Service" - white-label infrastructure for banks/securities firms to offer crypto without building their own systems @circle building: ARC blockchain with deterministic subsecond finality (doubling down on immutability while exploring optional reversal protocols for fraud) @TimMcCourtCME: "Capital efficiencies, interrelatedness of products... it's growth versus growth for everyone on stage." Collaboration > Competition when growing the pie. The story has flipped: crypto isn’t waiting for institutions. Institutions are figuring out how to plug in, and this time, the rails are ready.
Replying to @nicrypto
When the gov opens back up and some of these ETFs are cleared, we should see some retirement account rotation into crypto from stock winnings.
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Replying to @nicrypto
Liquidation waves hitting different traders playing chess not checkers
Replying to @nicrypto
far insights and appreciated sharing this context
Replying to @nicrypto
They will, just not yet. This could be true
🚨🚨🚨 Fed Funds Rate + Fed Balance Sheet vs. $TOTAL3 tells the real story behind every major altcoin cycle. Back in 2019, when the Fed made its first rate cut and ended QT, altcoins didn’t rally immediately, they slid and moved sideways all the way until January 2020. Then the magic switch flipped during COVID: massive rate cuts + QE ignition, and altcoins went full-parabolic. Fast-forward to now: We might still get a seasonal altcoin pop into year-end - that’s normal. But if history rhymes, then post-QT could bring a period of sideways or downward drift for both alts and BTC. And here’s where it gets interesting… When Powell exits and Trump installs a new Fed chair likely aligned with his agenda, we could be staring at aggressive rate cuts and another wave of QE. If that scenario plays out, the probability that altcoins ignite from late Q3 2026 into mid-2027 is extremely high. That’s the kind of setup that fuels once-in-a-cycle expansions. In short: The train doesn’t stop, it just reloads before the next acceleration. This is all based on historical patterns, not guarantees, but absolutely something worth having on your radar. Not financial advice. #Bitcoin #Altcoins #Ethereum #solana #FederalReserve #jeromepowell #Trump #crypto #stocks #BullMarket