people think they'll be the statistical anomaly when consequences are good (winning the lottery) but no one thinks they'll be the statistical anomaly when consequences are bad (getting your baseball stolen on national television)

Sep 8, 2025 · 4:55 PM UTC

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Replying to @steak_umm
"Flying is risky so let's drive instead." This is what happens when statistics and econ basics are taught only as part of complex math problems. Don't need complex math to see relationships or comparison of risks.
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Replying to @steak_umm
I don’t go to casinos because I already know my odds.
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Replying to @steak_umm
The classic question "Why me?" has an answer just as classic. "Why not you?"