"[in fully automated economy] the leverage that many people have to secure fair treatment for themselves and their communities will drop to literally zero."
Exactly.
That's why UBI is the worst idea ever, because it allows full automation of economy.
Well the essay is a separate argument from the tweet 🙂
I think the argument in the essay hinges on an optimism about political systems that I don't share at all. The various human rights and economic development people I talk to and listen to tend have an opposite perspective: in the 2020s, relying on rich people's sympathy has hit a dead end, and if you want to be treated humanely, you have to build power - and the nicest form of power is being useful to people.
The right point of comparison is not people collecting welfare in rich countries like the USA, it's people in, like... Sudan, where a civil war is killing hundreds of thousands, and the global media generally just does not care one bit.
So I think if you take away the only leverage that humans naturally have - the ability to be useful to others through work - then the leverage that many people have to secure fair treatment for themselves and their communities will drop to literally zero.
Previous waves of automation did not have this problem, because there's always some other thing you can switch to working on. This time, no. And the square kilometers of land that all the people live on and get food from will be wanted by ASIs to build data centers and generate electricity.
Sure, maybe you only need 1% of wealth to be held by people/govts that are nice, who will outbid them. But it's a huge gamble that things will turn out well.