Hi Professor
@rahmstorf,
Thank you for your presentation, publications, books, and tireless contributions in climate science.
I'm curious about the likelihood of a potential causal chain.
In the 9th episode of Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey titled "The Lost Worlds of Planet Earth," host Neil deGrasse Tyson discusses the Permian-Triassic extinction event and mentions that the shutdown of ocean currents led to the spread of anaerobic bacteria, which "belched hydrogen sulfide gas into the oceans and atmosphere, poisoning life and further weakening the food chain." He also states that "The hydrogen sulfide reacted with the sun's ultraviolet light, ripping apart the planet's ozone layer."
Considering the potential future shutdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) due to climate change, I am curious about the following:
1) In the event of an AMOC shutdown, how likely is it that anaerobic bacteria would bloom and release significant amounts of hydrogen sulfide gas into the atmosphere?
2) If this were to occur, could the released hydrogen sulfide gas react with UV light and deplete the ozone layer, as described in the Cosmos episode about the Permian-Triassic extinction?
I would greatly appreciate any insights you could provide on the likelihood of this specific causal chain (AMOC shutdown β anaerobic bacteria bloom β hydrogen sulfide release β ozone depletion) based on current scientific understanding. If there are any relevant studies or papers that explore this potential link, I would be very interested in learning about them.
Thanks again for all of your work. Best regards.